Colorado Rapids
vs
Chicago Fire
Garuda Lions Prediction: Colorado Rapids
1 – 0 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire
| Probability | Colorado Rapids | Draw | Chicago Fire |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.8% | 28.4% | 30.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 40.8% | 28.4% | 30.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire match preview
The upcoming match between Colorado Rapids and Chicago Fire presents an intriguing matchup, with Colorado Rapids holding a 41% probability of winning, while Chicago Fire stands at 31%. The model suggests a likely scoreline of 1-0 in favor of Colorado Rapids, occurring with a 9% probability. Both teams are expected to score, with a 55% chance for both teams finding the net, and the forecast indicates a 49% likelihood of over 2.5 goals.
In terms of recent form, Colorado Rapids have recorded a mixed bag of results with a sequence of W-D-D-D-L-D, while Chicago Fire enters the match on a stronger note, having won four of their last six games, with a record of W-L-L-W-W-W. The expected goals for the match are 1.43 for Colorado Rapids and 1.21 for Chicago Fire, reflecting a competitive encounter.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Colorado Rapids and Chicago Fire expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.64
Colorado Rapids and Chicago Fire attack and defence ratings
Colorado Rapids
Chicago Fire
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 33 fixtures
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- Columbus Crew vs DC United — team news & stats
- FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union
- Sporting Kansas City v FC Dallas — match page
- St. Louis City vs San Diego — team news & stats
- San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake
- Los Angeles Galaxy v Austin — match page
Before and after this match
Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Colorado Rapids | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.9% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Colorado Rapids | 40.8% |
| Draw | 28.4% | |
| Chicago Fire | 30.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.6% |
| No | 45.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Colorado Rapids win | 20.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 59.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.6% |
| 1-0 | 9.0% | |
| 2-1 | 8.8% |
Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire stats
Colorado Rapids and Chicago Fire recent form
| Colorado Rapids |
WDDDLD |
| Chicago Fire |
WLLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Colorado Rapids and Chicago Fire season so far
Colorado Rapids record
- They have won 11 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Chicago Fire record
- They have won 14 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 7 penalties (57%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.