FC Dallas
vs
Columbus Crew
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Dallas
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew
| Probability | FC Dallas | Draw | Columbus Crew |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.8% | 27.1% | 33.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 39.8% | 27.1% | 33.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew match preview
FC Dallas faces Columbus Crew in an intriguing matchup, with our model assigning a 40% probability of a home win for Dallas, while Columbus has a 33% chance of victory and a 27% likelihood of a draw. The expected goals for FC Dallas stand at 1.52, compared to Columbus Crew's 1.37, indicating a closely contested match.
Recent form shows FC Dallas with a mixed record of D-W-L-W-D-W, while Columbus Crew has been more consistent with D-W-W-L-W-W. The most likely scoreline according to our model is 2-1 in favor of FC Dallas, with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% probability that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Dallas and Columbus Crew expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.89
FC Dallas and Columbus Crew attack and defence ratings
FC Dallas
Columbus Crew
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 32 fixtures
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- New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls
- Chicago Fire v Orlando City SC — match page
- Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City — team news & stats
- Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union
- Austin v Real Salt Lake — match page
- St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers — team news & stats
Before and after this match
FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Dallas | 39.8% | 2.51 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Dallas | 39.8% |
| Draw | 27.1% | |
| Columbus Crew | 33.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.4% |
| No | 40.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Dallas win | 20.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.7% | |
| Loss | 60.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.7% |
| 2-1 | 8.8% | |
| 1-2 | 7.9% |
FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew stats
FC Dallas and Columbus Crew recent form
| FC Dallas |
DWLWDW |
| Columbus Crew |
DWWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Dallas and Columbus Crew season so far
FC Dallas record
- They have won 14 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Columbus Crew record
- They have won 10 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 30 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).