New England Revolution
vs
New York Red Bulls
Garuda Lions Prediction: New England Revolution
2 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.84 vs 0.99.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls overview
Garuda Lions analysis: New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls
| Probability | New England Revolution | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.3% | 24.8% | 18.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 56.3% | 24.8% | 18.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why New England Revolution
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.84 vs 0.99.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls match preview
In the upcoming match between New England Revolution and New York Red Bulls, the probabilities indicate a strong likelihood of a home victory for the Revolution at 56%, with a 25% chance of a draw and a 19% chance for the Red Bulls. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-0, occurring at a rate of 10%. Both teams have a 54% probability of scoring over 2.5 goals in the match.
Analyzing recent form, New England Revolution has recorded three wins and two losses in their last six matches, while New York Red Bulls have two wins and four losses. The expected goals for the Revolution stand at 1.84, compared to 0.99 for the Red Bulls. In their last three encounters, New England has one win, while New York has two victories.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
New England Revolution and New York Red Bulls expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.83
New England Revolution and New York Red Bulls attack and defence ratings
New England Revolution
New York Red Bulls
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 32 fixtures
- Toronto FC v DC United — match page
- New York City FC vs Atlanta United FC — team news & stats
- Inter Miami v FC Cincinnati — match page
- Charlotte vs CF Montreal — team news & stats
- FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew
- Chicago Fire v Orlando City SC — match page
- Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City — team news & stats
- Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union
Before and after this match
New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | New England Revolution | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | New England Revolution | 56.3% |
| Draw | 24.8% | |
| New York Red Bulls | 18.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.0% |
| No | 46.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | New England Revolution win | 33.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.2% | |
| Loss | 43.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.8% |
| 2-0 | 10.0% | |
| 2-1 | 9.9% |
New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls stats
New England Revolution and New York Red Bulls recent form
| New England Revolution |
WWLLWW |
| New York Red Bulls |
LLWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
New England Revolution and New York Red Bulls season so far
New England Revolution record
- They have won 16 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
New York Red Bulls record
- They have won 10 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 30 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | New York Red Bulls | New England Revolution | Major League Soccer | 1-0 |
| 2025-07-16 | New York Red Bulls | New England Revolution | Major League Soccer | 5-3 |
| 2025-03-29 | New England Revolution | New York Red Bulls | Major League Soccer | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.