New England Revolution
vs
Inter Miami
Garuda Lions Prediction: New England Revolution
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
New England Revolution vs Inter Miami overview
Garuda Lions analysis: New England Revolution vs Inter Miami
| Probability | New England Revolution | Draw | Inter Miami |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.1% | 24.3% | 35.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 40.1% | 24.3% | 35.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why New England Revolution
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
New England Revolution vs Inter Miami match preview
In this Major League Soccer matchup, New England Revolution hosts Inter Miami with a 40% probability of a home victory, while Inter Miami stands at 36% for an away win. The model predicts a likely scoreline of 2-1 in favor of New England, with an 8% chance of occurring. Both teams have shown offensive capabilities, with expected goals of 1.78 for New England and 1.67 for Inter Miami, contributing to a 67% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance for both teams to score.
Recent form indicates that New England Revolution has recorded three wins in their last six matches, while Inter Miami has also shown resilience with three wins but faced a recent loss. In their last three head-to-head encounters, New England has yet to secure a victory, with Inter Miami winning twice and one match ending in a draw.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
New England Revolution and Inter Miami expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.45
New England Revolution and Inter Miami attack and defence ratings
New England Revolution
Inter Miami
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 33 fixtures
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- Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders
- Atlanta United FC v Toronto FC — match page
- Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls
- Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota United FC — team news & stats
- Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo — team news & stats
Before and after this match
New England Revolution vs Inter Miami markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | New England Revolution | 40.1% | 2.49 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.9% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.4% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | New England Revolution | 40.1% |
| Draw | 24.3% | |
| Inter Miami | 35.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.4% |
| No | 31.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | New England Revolution win | 21.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.5% | |
| Loss | 59.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.4% |
| 2-1 | 8.4% | |
| 1-2 | 7.9% |
New England Revolution vs Inter Miami stats
New England Revolution and Inter Miami recent form
| New England Revolution |
WWWLLW |
| Inter Miami |
LWWWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
New England Revolution and Inter Miami season so far
New England Revolution record
- They have won 17 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 8 penalties (88%).
Inter Miami record
- They have won 15 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
New England Revolution vs Inter Miami head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Inter Miami | New England Revolution | Major League Soccer | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-04 | Inter Miami | New England Revolution | Major League Soccer | 4-1 |
| 2025-07-09 | New England Revolution | Inter Miami | Major League Soccer | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.