Inter Miami
vs
Charlotte
Garuda Lions Prediction: Inter Miami
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Inter Miami is the favourite, not a value bet.
Inter Miami vs Charlotte overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Inter Miami vs Charlotte
| Probability | Inter Miami | Draw | Charlotte |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.7% | 22.9% | 35.4% |
| Market | 67.9% | 17.0% | 15.1% |
| Final | 61.3% | 18.5% | 20.2% |
| Edge | -6.5% | +1.5% | +5.1% |
Why Inter Miami
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.42, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -12.9% per unit staked (our 61.3% × 1.42 − 1).
Inter Miami vs Charlotte match preview
Inter Miami enters this match against Charlotte with a strong probability of winning at 61%, while Charlotte has a 20% chance. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Inter Miami, with an 8% likelihood. Both teams are expected to score, with our model indicating a 73% chance for this outcome, and the likelihood of over 2.5 goals stands at 73% as well.
In terms of recent form, Inter Miami has recorded three wins and a draw in their last five matches, while Charlotte has two wins and three mixed results. The head-to-head record over the last ten encounters shows Inter Miami with four wins, three draws, and three wins for Charlotte, indicating a competitive matchup. Expected goals are 1.97 for Inter Miami and 1.81 for Charlotte.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Inter Miami and Charlotte expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.79
Inter Miami and Charlotte attack and defence ratings
Inter Miami
Charlotte
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 34 fixtures
- Orlando City SC v New England Revolution — match page
- Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC — team news & stats
- New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC
- Chicago Fire v Columbus Crew — match page
- CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps — team news & stats
- DC United vs New York City FC
- FC Cincinnati v Nashville SC — match page
- Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC
Before and after this match
Inter Miami vs Charlotte markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inter Miami | 61.3% | 1.63 | -6.5% | 1.42 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 81.5% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.3% | 1.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inter Miami | 61.3% |
| Draw | 18.5% | |
| Charlotte | 20.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 27.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.9% |
| No | 27.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 38.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Inter Miami win | 23.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.1% | |
| Loss | 58.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.9% |
| 2-1 | 8.0% | |
| 1-2 | 7.4% |
Inter Miami vs Charlotte stats
Inter Miami and Charlotte recent form
| Inter Miami |
WDLWWW |
| Charlotte |
WWLDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Inter Miami and Charlotte season so far
Inter Miami record
- They have won 16 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Charlotte record
- They have won 15 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 33 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Inter Miami vs Charlotte head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Charlotte | Inter Miami | Major League Soccer | 0-0 |
| 2025-09-13 | Charlotte | Inter Miami | Major League Soccer | 3-0 |
| 2025-03-09 | Inter Miami | Charlotte | Major League Soccer | 1-0 |
| 2024-09-28 | Inter Miami | Charlotte | Major League Soccer | 1-1 |
| 2024-07-03 | Charlotte | Inter Miami | Major League Soccer | 1-2 |
| 2023-10-22 | Charlotte | Inter Miami | Major League Soccer | 1-0 |
| 2023-10-19 | Inter Miami | Charlotte | Major League Soccer | 2-2 |
| 2023-08-12 | Inter Miami | Charlotte | Leagues Cup | 4-0 |
| 2022-07-17 | Inter Miami | Charlotte | Major League Soccer | 3-2 |
| 2022-05-07 | Charlotte | Inter Miami | Major League Soccer | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Inter Miami vs Charlotte odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 67.9%, draw 17.0%, away 15.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.38 | 5.25 | 7.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.36 | 5.50 | 6.50 |
| Betano | 1.42 | 5.80 | 6.70 |
| Betfair | 1.36 | 5.50 | 6.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.41 | 5.80 | 6.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.38 | 5.40 | 6.05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.39 | 5.68 | 6.63 |
| SBO | 1.36 | 5.22 | 5.61 |
| William Hill | 1.36 | 5.00 | 5.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .