Inter Miami
vs
FC Cincinnati
Garuda Lions Prediction: Inter Miami
3 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.05 vs 1.28.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Inter Miami vs FC Cincinnati overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Inter Miami vs FC Cincinnati
| Probability | Inter Miami | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 72.4% | 15.3% | 12.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 72.4% | 15.3% | 12.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Inter Miami
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.05 vs 1.28.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Inter Miami vs FC Cincinnati match preview
Inter Miami enters this match against FC Cincinnati with a strong probability of winning at 72%, while FC Cincinnati stands at 12%. The expected goals for Inter Miami are notably higher at 3.05 compared to FC Cincinnati's 1.28, suggesting a significant offensive advantage for the home side. Recent form shows Inter Miami with three wins in their last five matches, while FC Cincinnati has experienced mixed results, winning two out of their last five.
The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 3-1 in favor of Inter Miami, with an 8% chance of occurring. Additionally, there is an 81% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match, and a 69% likelihood that both teams will find the back of the net. Historically, Inter Miami has performed well against FC Cincinnati, with two wins and one draw in their last four encounters.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Inter Miami and FC Cincinnati expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.33
Inter Miami and FC Cincinnati attack and defence ratings
Inter Miami
FC Cincinnati
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 32 fixtures
- Toronto FC v DC United — match page
- New York City FC vs Atlanta United FC — team news & stats
- New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls
- Charlotte vs CF Montreal — team news & stats
- FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew
- Chicago Fire v Orlando City SC — match page
- Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City — team news & stats
- Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union
Before and after this match
Inter Miami vs FC Cincinnati markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inter Miami | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 80.6% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.2% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.7% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Inter Miami win | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inter Miami | 72.4% |
| Draw | 15.3% | |
| FC Cincinnati | 12.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 80.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 19.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.2% |
| No | 30.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 84.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 27.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Inter Miami win | 53.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.5% | |
| Loss | 27.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-1 | 8.0% |
| 2-1 | 7.8% | |
| 3-0 | 6.2% |
Inter Miami vs FC Cincinnati stats
Inter Miami and FC Cincinnati recent form
| Inter Miami |
WWWLDD |
| FC Cincinnati |
WLLWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Inter Miami and FC Cincinnati season so far
Inter Miami record
- They have won 15 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 2.1 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Cincinnati record
- They have won 10 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 30 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Inter Miami vs FC Cincinnati head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | FC Cincinnati | Inter Miami | Major League Soccer | 3-5 |
| 2025-11-23 | FC Cincinnati | Inter Miami | Major League Soccer | 0-4 |
| 2025-07-26 | Inter Miami | FC Cincinnati | Major League Soccer | 0-0 |
| 2025-07-16 | FC Cincinnati | Inter Miami | Major League Soccer | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.