Charlotte
vs
CF Montreal
Garuda Lions Prediction: Charlotte
2 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.35 vs 0.94.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Charlotte vs CF Montreal overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Charlotte vs CF Montreal
| Probability | Charlotte | Draw | CF Montreal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 68.0% | 19.4% | 12.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 68.0% | 19.4% | 12.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Charlotte
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.35 vs 0.94.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Charlotte vs CF Montreal match preview
Charlotte hosts CF Montreal in a matchup where the home side has a significant advantage, with a 68% probability of winning according to our model. The expected goals for Charlotte stand at 2.35, while CF Montreal is projected to score only 0.94. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, which aligns with the expectation of over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams scoring at 56%.
Recent form shows Charlotte with a mixed bag of results, including two draws and two wins in their last six matches, while CF Montreal has struggled, recording just one win in their last six outings. In their last nine encounters, Charlotte has won three times, while CF Montreal has secured five victories, indicating a competitive historical context.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Charlotte and CF Montreal expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.28
Charlotte and CF Montreal attack and defence ratings
Charlotte
CF Montreal
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 32 fixtures
- Toronto FC v DC United — match page
- New York City FC vs Atlanta United FC — team news & stats
- New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls
- Inter Miami v FC Cincinnati — match page
- FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew
- Chicago Fire v Orlando City SC — match page
- Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City — team news & stats
- Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union
Before and after this match
Charlotte vs CF Montreal markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Charlotte | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.4% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Charlotte win | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Charlotte | 68.0% |
| Draw | 19.4% | |
| CF Montreal | 12.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.8% |
| No | 44.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 32.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Charlotte win | 46.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.9% | |
| Loss | 32.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 10.3% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 1-1 | 9.1% |
Charlotte vs CF Montreal stats
Charlotte and CF Montreal recent form
| Charlotte |
DLWLWD |
| CF Montreal |
DLLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Charlotte and CF Montreal season so far
Charlotte record
- They have won 13 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 30 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CF Montreal record
- They have won 6 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 30 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 8 penalties (88%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Charlotte vs CF Montreal head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | CF Montreal | Charlotte | Major League Soccer | 1-2 |
| 2025-09-27 | Charlotte | CF Montreal | Major League Soccer | 1-4 |
| 2025-04-12 | CF Montreal | Charlotte | Major League Soccer | 0-1 |
| 2024-10-05 | Charlotte | CF Montreal | Major League Soccer | 2-0 |
| 2024-09-14 | CF Montreal | Charlotte | Major League Soccer | 2-1 |
| 2023-07-15 | CF Montreal | Charlotte | Major League Soccer | 2-0 |
| 2023-06-24 | Charlotte | CF Montreal | Major League Soccer | 0-0 |
| 2022-06-25 | CF Montreal | Charlotte | Major League Soccer | 2-1 |
| 2022-05-14 | Charlotte | CF Montreal | Major League Soccer | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.