Real Salt Lake
vs
Los Angeles Galaxy
Garuda Lions Prediction: Real Salt Lake
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.87 vs 1.57.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Real Salt Lake is the favourite, not a value bet.
Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles Galaxy overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles Galaxy
| Probability | Real Salt Lake | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.1% | 24.1% | 31.8% |
| Market | 55.0% | 22.5% | 22.5% |
| Final | 52.3% | 22.9% | 24.8% |
| Edge | -2.7% | +0.4% | +2.3% |
Why Real Salt Lake
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.87 vs 1.57.
Best available price on the pick: 1.78, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -7.0% per unit staked (our 52.3% × 1.78 − 1).
Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles Galaxy match preview
Real Salt Lake faces Los Angeles Galaxy in a matchup with intriguing probabilities. According to our model, Real Salt Lake has a 44% chance of winning, while Los Angeles Galaxy stands at 32%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Real Salt Lake, occurring with a 9% probability. The expected goals for Real Salt Lake is 1.87, compared to 1.57 for Los Angeles Galaxy, suggesting a competitive encounter.
In terms of recent form, Real Salt Lake has recorded one win in their last six matches (L-W-W-W-D-L), while Los Angeles Galaxy has been more consistent with three wins in their last six (W-D-D-W-L-W). The head-to-head record shows Real Salt Lake with one win, and Los Angeles Galaxy with two wins in their last three encounters. The model indicates a 67% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Real Salt Lake and Los Angeles Galaxy expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.44
Real Salt Lake and Los Angeles Galaxy attack and defence ratings
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles Galaxy
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 34 fixtures
- Orlando City SC v New England Revolution — match page
- Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC — team news & stats
- Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC
- FC Dallas v Colorado Rapids — match page
- Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City — team news & stats
- Minnesota United FC v San Jose Earthquakes — match page
- Austin vs Portland Timbers — team news & stats
- San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City
Before and after this match
Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles Galaxy markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Salt Lake | 52.3% | 1.91 | -2.7% | 1.78 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Salt Lake | 52.3% |
| Draw | 22.9% | |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 24.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.0% |
| No | 32.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Real Salt Lake win | 24.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.4% | |
| Loss | 55.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.3% |
| 2-1 | 8.8% | |
| 1-2 | 7.4% |
Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles Galaxy stats
Real Salt Lake and Los Angeles Galaxy recent form
| Real Salt Lake |
LWWWDL |
| Los Angeles Galaxy |
WDDWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Real Salt Lake and Los Angeles Galaxy season so far
Real Salt Lake record
- They have won 12 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Los Angeles Galaxy record
- They have won 11 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 33 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles Galaxy head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | Real Salt Lake | Major League Soccer | 2-1 |
| 2026-02-13 | Los Angeles Galaxy | Real Salt Lake | Friendlies Clubs | 3-3 |
| 2025-06-01 | Los Angeles Galaxy | Real Salt Lake | Major League Soccer | 2-0 |
| 2025-04-05 | Real Salt Lake | Los Angeles Galaxy | Major League Soccer | 2-0 |
| 2024-06-23 | Real Salt Lake | Los Angeles Galaxy | Major League Soccer | 0-1 |
| 2024-05-12 | Los Angeles Galaxy | Real Salt Lake | Major League Soccer | 2-2 |
| 2023-10-15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | Real Salt Lake | Major League Soccer | 2-2 |
| 2023-06-08 | Real Salt Lake | Los Angeles Galaxy | US Open Cup | 3-2 |
| 2023-06-01 | Real Salt Lake | Los Angeles Galaxy | Major League Soccer | 2-3 |
| 2022-10-02 | Los Angeles Galaxy | Real Salt Lake | Major League Soccer | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles Galaxy odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 55.0%, draw 22.5%, away 22.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 4.20 | 4.10 |
| Betano | 1.78 | 4.25 | 4.30 |
| Betfair | 1.73 | 4.20 | 4.10 |
| Dafabet | 1.76 | 4.30 | 4.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.67 | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.72 | 4.38 | 4.22 |
| SBO | 1.65 | 3.76 | 3.63 |
| William Hill | 1.70 | 3.90 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .