Vancouver Whitecaps
vs
San Diego
Garuda Lions Prediction: Vancouver Whitecaps
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.64 vs 1.29.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego
| Probability | Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | San Diego |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 65.5% | 18.4% | 16.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 65.5% | 18.4% | 16.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Vancouver Whitecaps
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.64 vs 1.29.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego match preview
The upcoming match between Vancouver Whitecaps and San Diego on October 29, 2026, presents an intriguing matchup. According to our model, Vancouver Whitecaps hold a 65% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 18% and San Diego at 16%. The expected goals suggest a strong performance from Vancouver, with a forecasted 2.64 goals compared to San Diego's 1.29. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-1, occurring at a 9% likelihood.
Recent form indicates that Vancouver Whitecaps have been relatively stable, with a record of W-D-D-L-D-W, while San Diego has struggled, managing only D-D-L-D-D-L in their last six matches. Additionally, there is a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored, and 68% probability that both teams will find the net. In their last four head-to-head encounters, Vancouver Whitecaps have secured 2 wins, with San Diego claiming 1 victory and 1 match ending in a draw.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Vancouver Whitecaps and San Diego expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.93
Vancouver Whitecaps and San Diego attack and defence ratings
Vancouver Whitecaps
San Diego
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 32 fixtures
- FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew
- Chicago Fire v Orlando City SC — match page
- Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City — team news & stats
- Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union
- Austin v Real Salt Lake — match page
- St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers — team news & stats
- Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo
- San Jose Earthquakes v Colorado Rapids — match page
Before and after this match
Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 65.5% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.9% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Vancouver Whitecaps win | 45.4% | 2.20 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 65.5% |
| Draw | 18.4% | |
| San Diego | 16.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 24.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.0% |
| No | 32.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 34.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vancouver Whitecaps win | 45.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 34.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.8% |
| 3-1 | 7.8% | |
| 1-1 | 7.4% |
Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego stats
Vancouver Whitecaps and San Diego recent form
| Vancouver Whitecaps |
WDDLDW |
| San Diego |
DDLDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Vancouver Whitecaps and San Diego season so far
Vancouver Whitecaps record
- They have won 16 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 8 penalties (88%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
San Diego record
- They have won 8 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 9 of 10 penalties (90%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | San Diego | Vancouver Whitecaps | Major League Soccer | 2-4 |
| 2025-11-30 | San Diego | Vancouver Whitecaps | Major League Soccer | 1-3 |
| 2025-07-20 | San Diego | Vancouver Whitecaps | Major League Soccer | 1-1 |
| 2025-06-26 | Vancouver Whitecaps | San Diego | Major League Soccer | 3-5 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.