Colorado Rapids
vs
Vancouver Whitecaps
Garuda Lions Prediction: Vancouver Whitecaps
0 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.41 vs 1.11.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Vancouver Whitecaps is the favourite, not a value bet.
Colorado Rapids vs Vancouver Whitecaps overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Colorado Rapids vs Vancouver Whitecaps
| Probability | Colorado Rapids | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.3% | 29.0% | 42.7% |
| Market | 30.5% | 25.5% | 44.0% |
| Final | 29.9% | 26.4% | 43.6% |
| Edge | -0.5% | +0.9% | -0.3% |
Why Vancouver Whitecaps
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.41 vs 1.11.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.22, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.1% per unit staked (our 43.6% × 2.22 − 1).
Colorado Rapids vs Vancouver Whitecaps match preview
In the upcoming match between Colorado Rapids and Vancouver Whitecaps, the probabilities indicate a competitive encounter, with the Whitecaps holding a 44% chance of victory compared to the Rapids' 30%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 0-1, with an expected goals tally of 1.11 for Colorado and 1.41 for Vancouver. Both teams have shown mixed form recently, with Colorado recording three draws and three losses in their last six matches, while Vancouver has managed two wins, three draws, and one loss.
Historically, the head-to-head record favors Vancouver, who have won two of the last three encounters, while Colorado has secured just one victory. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals stands at 46%, and both teams scoring is assessed at 52%, suggesting a potentially tight match with chances at both ends.
Colorado Rapids and Vancouver Whitecaps team news
Colorado Rapids news
- A. Fadal — injury
- R. Cannon — leg injury
- T. Ku-DiPietro — shoulder injury
- Y. Maziz — injury
- Z. Steffen — shoulder injury
Vancouver Whitecaps news
- B. Halbouni — knee injury
- K. G. Cabrera Nakamura — foot injury
- S. Adekugbe — muscle injury
- T. Muller — muscle injury
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Colorado Rapids and Vancouver Whitecaps expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.52
Colorado Rapids and Vancouver Whitecaps attack and defence ratings
Colorado Rapids
Vancouver Whitecaps
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 31 fixtures
- Orlando City SC v New York City FC — match page
- Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution — team news & stats
- FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes — team news & stats
- Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United FC
- Sporting Kansas City vs Austin
- Real Salt Lake v St. Louis City — match page
- Portland Timbers v Charlotte — match page
- San Diego vs Seattle Sounders — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Colorado Rapids vs Vancouver Whitecaps markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 43.6% | 2.29 | -0.3% | 2.22 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.3% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Colorado Rapids | 29.9% |
| Draw | 26.4% | |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | 43.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.9% |
| No | 48.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 56.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vancouver Whitecaps win | 21.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.6% | |
| Loss | 57.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 0-1 | 10.1% | |
| 0-0 | 9.3% |
Colorado Rapids vs Vancouver Whitecaps stats
Colorado Rapids and Vancouver Whitecaps recent form
| Colorado Rapids |
DDDLDL |
| Vancouver Whitecaps |
WDDLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Colorado Rapids and Vancouver Whitecaps season so far
Colorado Rapids record
- They have won 11 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Vancouver Whitecaps record
- They have won 16 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 8 penalties (88%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Colorado Rapids vs Vancouver Whitecaps head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Colorado Rapids | Major League Soccer | 3-1 |
| 2025-07-13 | Colorado Rapids | Vancouver Whitecaps | Major League Soccer | 3-0 |
| 2025-04-06 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Colorado Rapids | Major League Soccer | 2-0 |
| 2024-06-02 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Colorado Rapids | Major League Soccer | 2-1 |
| 2024-05-16 | Colorado Rapids | Vancouver Whitecaps | Major League Soccer | 1-0 |
| 2023-09-28 | Colorado Rapids | Vancouver Whitecaps | Major League Soccer | 2-2 |
| 2023-04-30 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Colorado Rapids | Major League Soccer | 0-0 |
| 2022-09-11 | Colorado Rapids | Vancouver Whitecaps | Major League Soccer | 3-1 |
| 2022-08-18 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Colorado Rapids | Major League Soccer | 2-1 |
| 2021-09-20 | Colorado Rapids | Vancouver Whitecaps | Major League Soccer | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Colorado Rapids vs Vancouver Whitecaps odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 30.5%, draw 25.5%, away 44.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 3.10 | 3.80 | 2.15 |
| BetVictor | 3.13 | 3.70 | 2.10 |
| Betano | 3.05 | 3.70 | 2.22 |
| Betfair | 3.10 | 3.75 | 2.15 |
| Dafabet | 3.15 | 3.70 | 2.22 |
| Marathonbet | 3.05 | 3.68 | 2.10 |
| Pinnacle | 3.15 | 3.81 | 2.18 |
| SBO | 2.80 | 3.10 | 2.12 |
| William Hill | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .