Austin
vs
Vancouver Whitecaps
Garuda Lions Prediction: Vancouver Whitecaps
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Austin vs Vancouver Whitecaps overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Austin vs Vancouver Whitecaps
| Probability | Austin | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.2% | 27.2% | 41.7% |
| Market | 19.8% | 22.1% | 58.1% |
| Final | 22.6% | 23.4% | 54.0% |
| Edge | +11.4% | +5.0% | -16.4% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.64, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Austin vs Vancouver Whitecaps match preview
Austin faces Vancouver Whitecaps in an intriguing matchup, with the model giving Austin a 34% chance of winning, while Vancouver is favored at 39%. The likelihood of a draw stands at 27%. The most probable scoreline predicted is 1-2 in favor of Vancouver, occurring at a rate of 9%. Both teams are expected to contribute to the scoreline, with a 61% probability of both teams scoring and an overall 57% chance of more than 2.5 goals.
In terms of recent form, Austin has recorded one win in their last six matches (L-D-D-W-D-D), while Vancouver has a slightly better record with two wins in their last six (D-L-D-W-L-W). The expected goals for Austin are 1.44, compared to Vancouver's 1.55, indicating a closely contested encounter. In their last ten head-to-head meetings, Vancouver has the upper hand with five wins, while Austin has two victories and three matches ended in draws.
Austin and Vancouver Whitecaps team news
Austin news
- M. Desler — lower-body injury
- Z. Kolmanic — thigh injury
Vancouver Whitecaps news
- B. Halbouni — knee injury
- J. Badwal — hamstring injury
- K. G. Cabrera Nakamura — foot injury
- S. Adekugbe — muscle injury
- T. Muller — muscle injury
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Austin and Vancouver Whitecaps expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.85
Austin and Vancouver Whitecaps attack and defence ratings
Austin
Vancouver Whitecaps
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
- Orlando City SC v DC United — match page
- New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC — team news & stats
- Atlanta United FC vs Inter Miami
- New England Revolution v Chicago Fire — match page
- New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC
- Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas — team news & stats
- Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake
- Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Austin vs Vancouver Whitecaps markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 54.0% | 1.85 | -16.4% | 1.64 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.2% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.3% | 1.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Austin | 22.6% |
| Draw | 23.4% | |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | 54.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.5% |
| No | 41.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 46.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 77.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vancouver Whitecaps win | 21.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.3% | |
| Loss | 58.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.8% |
| 1-2 | 9.0% | |
| 0-1 | 7.8% |
Austin vs Vancouver Whitecaps stats
Austin and Vancouver Whitecaps recent form
| Austin |
LLDDWD |
| Vancouver Whitecaps |
DDLDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Austin and Vancouver Whitecaps season so far
Austin record
- They have won 7 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 29 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Vancouver Whitecaps record
- They have won 15 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 8 penalties (88%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Austin vs Vancouver Whitecaps head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Austin | Major League Soccer | 1-2 |
| 2025-05-18 | Austin | Vancouver Whitecaps | Major League Soccer | 0-0 |
| 2025-04-12 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Austin | Major League Soccer | 5-1 |
| 2024-09-01 | Austin | Vancouver Whitecaps | Major League Soccer | 0-1 |
| 2024-05-05 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Austin | Major League Soccer | 0-0 |
| 2023-07-13 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Austin | Major League Soccer | 2-1 |
| 2023-04-16 | Austin | Vancouver Whitecaps | Major League Soccer | 0-0 |
| 2022-10-02 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Austin | Major League Soccer | 2-0 |
| 2022-04-24 | Austin | Vancouver Whitecaps | Major League Soccer | 3-0 |
| 2021-09-04 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Austin | Major League Soccer | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Austin vs Vancouver Whitecaps odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 19.9%, draw 21.8%, away 58.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 4.75 | 4.50 | 1.62 |
| BetVictor | 4.80 | 4.20 | 1.60 |
| Betano | 4.85 | 4.35 | 1.62 |
| Betfair | 4.60 | 4.33 | 1.62 |
| Dafabet | 4.80 | 4.50 | 1.64 |
| Marathonbet | 4.60 | 4.25 | 1.61 |
| Pinnacle | 4.87 | 4.42 | 1.64 |
| SBO | 4.26 | 3.84 | 1.53 |
| William Hill | 4.40 | 4.00 | 1.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .