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Major League Soccer · Full time ·Matchday 29

St. Louis City vs Vancouver Whitecaps

0 – 0 Full time

40′Conrad WallemRafael Santos
45′Fallou Fall
45′Édier Ocampo
66′Emmanuel SabbiBruno Caicedo
70′Rafael Navarro LealSimon Becher
77′Brian WhiteRayan Elloumi
77′Oliver Love LarrazAleksa Cvetkovic
81′Ralph Priso
85′Alexandru Măţan
89′Christopher DurkinLukas MacNaughton

Citypark, Saint LouisReferee: Filip Dujic

St. Louis City 48%
Draw 23%
Vancouver Whitecaps 29%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

7 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 0
54 Possession % 46
5 Corners 10
17 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 2
0 Saves 4
384 Accurate passes 324

St. Louis City vs Vancouver Whitecaps overview

Garuda Lions analysis: St. Louis City vs Vancouver Whitecaps

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySt. Louis CityDrawVancouver Whitecaps
Model60.1%19.5%20.4%
Market43.6%24.7%31.8%
Final47.7%23.4%28.9%
Edge+4.1%-1.3%-2.8%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why St. Louis City

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.77 vs 1.28.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices St. Louis City below our published probability: +4.1 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

St. Louis City ↓ / Vancouver Whit → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 2 7% 9% 5% 3 6% 8% 4+ 8% 11% 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 92%
3+ goals 77%
No goals 2%

St. Louis City and Vancouver Whitecaps expected goals

St. Louis City 2.77
Vancouver Whitecaps 1.28

Total expected goals: 4.06

St. Louis City and Vancouver Whitecaps attack and defence ratings

St. Louis City

Attack 1.73 +73%
Defence 0.82 -18%

Vancouver Whitecaps

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

St. Louis City vs Vancouver Whitecaps: result vs prediction

St. Louis City 0 – 0 Vancouver Whitecaps

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 29 fixtures

Major League Soccer

Before and after this match

St. Louis City vs Vancouver Whitecaps markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 St. Louis City 47.7% 2.10 +4.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 77.0% 1.30 — —
Both teams to score Yes 72.2% 1.39 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.6% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 St. Louis City win 48.3% 2.07 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2St. Louis City47.7%
Draw23.4%
Vancouver Whitecaps28.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.577.0%
Under 2.523.0%
Both teams to scoreYes72.2%
No27.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.1%
12 (either side)76.6%
X2 (draw or away)52.3%
Handicap -1St. Louis City win48.3%
Push (exactly one goal)19.6%
Loss32.1%
Correct score (top 3)2-18.5%
1-17.3%
3-17.3%

St. Louis City vs Vancouver Whitecaps stats

St. Louis City and Vancouver Whitecaps recent form

newest first
St. Louis City WWWWWD
Vancouver Whitecaps DLDWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

St. Louis City and Vancouver Whitecaps going into this match

league record before kick-off

St. Louis City record

  • They have won 14 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Vancouver Whitecaps record

  • They have won 15 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 7 of 8 penalties (88%).
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

St. Louis City vs Vancouver Whitecaps head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2St. Louis City wins 2Draws 4Vancouver Whitecaps wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-09-06Vancouver WhitecapsSt. Louis CityMajor League Soccer1-3
2025-08-24Vancouver WhitecapsSt. Louis CityMajor League Soccer3-2
2025-04-20St. Louis CityVancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer0-0
2024-07-14St. Louis CityVancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer1-4
2024-06-30Vancouver WhitecapsSt. Louis CityMajor League Soccer4-3
2023-10-05Vancouver WhitecapsSt. Louis CityMajor League Soccer3-0
2023-05-28St. Louis CityVancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer3-1
2023-02-12Vancouver WhitecapsSt. Louis CityFriendlies Clubs0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

St. Louis City vs Vancouver Whitecaps odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.6%, draw 24.7%, away 31.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
Bet365 2.15 3.90 3.00
BetVictor 2.10 3.80 3.00
Betano 2.25 3.80 2.92
Betfair 2.15 3.90 3.00
Dafabet 2.25 3.90 2.95
Marathonbet 2.14 3.76 2.92
Pinnacle 2.17 3.94 3.07
SBO 2.10 3.54 2.83
William Hill 2.10 3.50 2.88

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.15 ▼ -0.59
X 3.80 ▲ +0.10
2 2.95 ▲ +0.65

20 snapshots recorded, from .