Los Angeles FC
vs
Vancouver Whitecaps
Garuda Lions Prediction: Los Angeles FC
1 – 0 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps
| Probability | Los Angeles FC | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.1% | 29.0% | 35.9% |
| Market | 39.0% | 26.1% | 34.8% |
| Final | 38.0% | 26.9% | 35.1% |
| Edge | -3.9% | +2.9% | +1.0% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.50, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps match preview
Los Angeles FC faces Vancouver Whitecaps in a closely contested matchup, with probabilities indicating Los Angeles FC at 38%, a draw at 27%, and Vancouver Whitecaps at 35%. The expected goals are nearly even, with Los Angeles FC at 1.28 and Vancouver Whitecaps at 1.30. Recent form shows Los Angeles FC with a record of L-D-L-W-D-D, while Vancouver Whitecaps have L-D-W-L-W-L.
In their last four encounters, Los Angeles FC has not secured a win, recording 0 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss to Vancouver Whitecaps. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, with a likelihood of 8%. Additionally, there is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance that both teams will score. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Los Angeles FC and Vancouver Whitecaps team news
Los Angeles FC news
- T. Hasal — arm injury
- T. Tillman — injury
Vancouver Whitecaps news
- B. Halbouni — knee injury
- J. Badwal — injury
- K. G. Cabrera Nakamura — foot injury
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Los Angeles FC and Vancouver Whitecaps expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.58
Los Angeles FC and Vancouver Whitecaps attack and defence ratings
Los Angeles FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
- Orlando City SC v Columbus Crew — match page
- Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake — team news & stats
- New York Red Bulls vs San Diego
- Atlanta United FC v FC Cincinnati — match page
- Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers — team news & stats
- Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo
- Austin v Nashville SC — match page
- Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Los Angeles FC | 38.0% | 2.63 | -3.9% | 2.50 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Los Angeles FC | 38.0% |
| Draw | 26.9% | |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | 35.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.7% |
| No | 46.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Los Angeles FC win | 16.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.1% | |
| Loss | 64.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.9% |
| 0-0 | 8.9% | |
| 0-1 | 8.6% |
Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps stats
Los Angeles FC and Vancouver Whitecaps recent form
| Los Angeles FC |
LDLWDD |
| Vancouver Whitecaps |
LDWLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Los Angeles FC and Vancouver Whitecaps season so far
Los Angeles FC record
- They have won 11 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Vancouver Whitecaps record
- They have won 15 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 8 penalties (88%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Los Angeles FC | Major League Soccer | 1-1 |
| 2025-11-23 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Los Angeles FC | Major League Soccer | 2-2 |
| 2025-06-30 | Los Angeles FC | Vancouver Whitecaps | Major League Soccer | 0-1 |
| 2025-05-11 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Los Angeles FC | Major League Soccer | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 39.0%, draw 26.1%, away 34.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.45 | 3.60 | 2.70 |
| BetVictor | 2.40 | 3.70 | 2.63 |
| Betano | 2.50 | 3.60 | 2.70 |
| Betfair | 2.38 | 3.75 | 2.70 |
| Dafabet | 2.41 | 3.70 | 2.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.41 | 3.55 | 2.64 |
| Pinnacle | 2.45 | 3.67 | 2.71 |
| SBO | 2.18 | 3.28 | 2.58 |
| William Hill | 2.38 | 3.40 | 2.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
34 snapshots recorded, from .