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Major League Soccer · Full time ·Matchday 28

Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps

1 – 1 Full time

6′Tristan Blackmon
10′Emmanuel SabbiMathías Laborda
25′Mathieu Choinière
35′Jesper Ingemann Sørensen
43′Oliver Love Larraz
45′Mathieu ChoinièreIgor Jesus
46′Denis Bouanga
63′Jacob ShaffelburgLeo Walta
72′Igor Jesus
74′Yadaly DiabyBruno Caicedo
76′Édier Ocampo
82′Sergio VasquezMarky Delgado
82′Sergi PalenciaRyan Hollingshead
86′Armindo SiebThayllon Roberth dos Santos Rebelo
89′Ryan Hollingshead
90′Oliver Love LarrazRanko Veselinovic
90′Mathías Laborda

Banc of California Stadium, Los AngelesReferee: Guido Gonzales Jr

Los Angeles FC 38%
Draw 27%
Vancouver Whitecaps 35%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 3
48 Possession % 52
3 Corners 2
15 Fouls 9
3 Offsides 1
2 Saves 3
420 Accurate passes 468

Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLos Angeles FCDrawVancouver Whitecaps
Model35.1%29.0%35.9%
Market39.0%26.1%34.8%
Final38.0%26.9%35.1%
Edge-1.0%+0.7%+0.3%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Los Angeles FC ↓ / Vancouver Whit → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 9% 1 8% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 47%
No goals 9%

Los Angeles FC and Vancouver Whitecaps expected goals

Los Angeles FC 1.28
Vancouver Whitecaps 1.30

Total expected goals: 2.57

Los Angeles FC and Vancouver Whitecaps attack and defence ratings

Los Angeles FC

Attack 0.79 -21%
Defence 0.81 -19%

Vancouver Whitecaps

Attack 1.16 +16%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps: result vs prediction

Los Angeles FC 1 – 1 Vancouver Whitecaps

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 28 fixtures

Major League Soccer

Before and after this match

Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Los Angeles FC 38.0% 2.63 -1.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 52.4% 1.91 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.7% 1.86 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.1% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 65.0% 1.54 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Los Angeles FC38.0%
Draw26.9%
Vancouver Whitecaps35.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.547.6%
Under 2.552.4%
Both teams to scoreYes53.7%
No46.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)64.9%
12 (either side)73.1%
X2 (draw or away)62.0%
Handicap -1Los Angeles FC win15.9%
Push (exactly one goal)19.1%
Loss65.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.9%
0-08.9%
0-18.6%

Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps stats

Los Angeles FC and Vancouver Whitecaps recent form

newest first
Los Angeles FC LDLWDD
Vancouver Whitecaps LDWLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Los Angeles FC and Vancouver Whitecaps going into this match

league record before kick-off

Los Angeles FC record

  • They have won 11 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 13 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Vancouver Whitecaps record

  • They have won 15 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 7 of 8 penalties (88%).
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Los Angeles FC wins 4Draws 2Vancouver Whitecaps wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-01Vancouver WhitecapsLos Angeles FCMajor League Soccer1-1
2025-11-23Vancouver WhitecapsLos Angeles FCMajor League Soccer2-2
2025-06-30Los Angeles FCVancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer0-1
2025-05-11Vancouver WhitecapsLos Angeles FCMajor League Soccer2-2
2024-11-09Los Angeles FCVancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer1-0
2024-11-04Vancouver WhitecapsLos Angeles FCMajor League Soccer3-0
2024-10-28Los Angeles FCVancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer2-1
2024-10-13Vancouver WhitecapsLos Angeles FCMajor League Soccer1-2
2024-07-31Los Angeles FCVancouver WhitecapsLeagues Cup2-2
2024-05-12Los Angeles FCVancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.0%, draw 26.1%, away 34.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
Bet365 2.45 3.60 2.70
BetVictor 2.40 3.70 2.63
Betano 2.50 3.55 2.72
Betfair 2.38 3.75 2.70
Dafabet 2.47 3.70 2.75
Marathonbet 2.41 3.55 2.64
Pinnacle 2.47 3.71 2.74
SBO 2.29 3.42 2.63
William Hill 2.38 3.40 2.62

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.41 ▼ -0.19
X 3.60 ▼ -0.10
2 2.70 ▲ +0.30

36 snapshots recorded, from .