Major League Soccer
·
Full time
·Matchday 29
Los Angeles FC
vs
Austin
3 – 1 Full time
| 52′ | Denis Bouanga | ||
| 63′ | Armindo SiebJacob Shaffelburg | ||
| 63′ | Igor JesusMathieu Choinière | ||
| 63′ | Oleksandr SvatokMyrto Uzuni | ||
| 66′ | Brandon Vazquez | ||
| 67′ | Denis Bouanga | ||
| 72′ | Son Heung-min | ||
| 78′ | Besard SabovicJorge Alastuey | ||
| 78′ | Evgen CheberkoRyan Hollingshead | ||
| 78′ | Son Heung-minSergio Vasquez | ||
| 81′ | Ervin TorresIlie Sánchez | ||
| 81′ | Facundo Daniel Torres PerezPrzemyslaw Płacheta | ||
| 85′ | Leo WaltaTyler Boyd |
Los Angeles FC
60%
Draw
22%
Austin
17%
Match stats
| 28 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 40 | Possession % | 60 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 3 | Saves | 8 |
| 337 | Accurate passes | 537 |
Los Angeles FC vs Austin overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Los Angeles FC vs Austin
| Probability | Los Angeles FC | Draw | Austin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.7% | 30.5% | 26.8% |
| Market | 66.1% | 19.6% | 14.3% |
| Final | 60.2% | 22.3% | 17.4% |
| Edge | -5.8% | +2.7% | +3.1% |
Why Los Angeles FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.31 vs 0.99.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
89%
2+ goals
68%
3+ goals
40%
No goals
11%
Los Angeles FC and Austin expected goals
Los Angeles FC
1.31
Austin
0.99
Total expected goals: 2.30
Los Angeles FC and Austin attack and defence ratings
Los Angeles FC
Attack
0.76 -24%
Defence
0.80 -20%
Austin
Attack
0.90 -10%
Defence
0.99 -1%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Los Angeles FC vs Austin: result vs prediction
Los Angeles FC 3 – 1 Austin
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
- Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC — team news & stats
- Columbus Crew vs Charlotte
- CF Montreal v Atlanta United FC — match page
- DC United vs New York Red Bulls — team news & stats
- FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution
- Inter Miami v New York City FC — match page
- FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders — team news & stats
- Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union
Before and after this match
Los Angeles FC vs Austin markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Los Angeles FC | 60.2% | 1.66 | -5.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.6% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.3% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Los Angeles FC | 60.2% |
| Draw | 22.3% | |
| Austin | 17.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.2% |
| No | 52.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 39.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Los Angeles FC win | 20.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.4% | |
| Loss | 57.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 1-0 | 11.9% | |
| 0-0 | 11.3% |
Los Angeles FC vs Austin stats
Los Angeles FC and Austin recent form
| Los Angeles FC |
DLDLWD |
| Austin |
LDDWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Los Angeles FC and Austin going into this match
Los Angeles FC record
- They have won 11 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Austin record
- They have won 7 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 28 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Los Angeles FC vs Austin head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
5Los Angeles FC wins
3Draws
2Austin wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | Austin | Los Angeles FC | Major League Soccer | 0-0 |
| 2025-11-03 | Austin | Los Angeles FC | Major League Soccer | 1-4 |
| 2025-10-30 | Los Angeles FC | Austin | Major League Soccer | 2-1 |
| 2025-10-12 | Austin | Los Angeles FC | Major League Soccer | 1-0 |
| 2025-03-15 | Los Angeles FC | Austin | Major League Soccer | 0-1 |
| 2024-09-19 | Los Angeles FC | Austin | Major League Soccer | 1-1 |
| 2024-08-08 | Los Angeles FC | Austin | Leagues Cup | 2-0 |
| 2024-06-20 | Austin | Los Angeles FC | Major League Soccer | 1-1 |
| 2023-10-08 | Austin | Los Angeles FC | Major League Soccer | 2-4 |
| 2023-04-08 | Los Angeles FC | Austin | Major League Soccer | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Los Angeles FC vs Austin odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 66.1%, draw 19.6%, away 14.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.44 | 4.50 | 7.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 4.75 | 7.00 |
| Betano | 1.47 | 4.85 | 7.00 |
| Betfair | 1.40 | 4.75 | 6.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.47 | 4.90 | 6.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.41 | 4.70 | 6.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.45 | 4.90 | 6.53 |
| SBO | 1.41 | 4.37 | 5.99 |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 4.40 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.41 ▼ -0.01
X
4.75 ▲ +0.05
2
6.50 —
20 snapshots recorded, from .