Los Angeles FC
vs
Austin
Garuda Lions Prediction: Los Angeles FC
1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
Los Angeles FC vs Austin overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Los Angeles FC vs Austin
| Probability | Los Angeles FC | Draw | Austin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.1% | 31.9% | 30.0% |
| Market | 66.4% | 20.0% | 13.7% |
| Final | 59.3% | 22.9% | 17.7% |
| Edge | -28.3% | +12.0% | +16.3% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.44, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Los Angeles FC vs Austin match preview
Los Angeles FC faces Austin in a Major League Soccer match with a kickoff scheduled for October 15, 2026. According to our model, Los Angeles FC has a 59% probability of winning, while Austin stands at 18%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Los Angeles FC, with a 12% chance of occurring. The expected goals are 1.17 for Los Angeles FC and 1.00 for Austin, indicating a slight edge for the home side.
In terms of recent form, Los Angeles FC has recorded a sequence of L-D-L-W-D-D, whereas Austin's form shows D-D-W-D-D-W. The last five head-to-head encounters reveal a competitive rivalry, with Los Angeles FC winning twice, Austin also winning twice, and one match ending in a draw. The confidence grade for this matchup is C, reflecting a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Los Angeles FC and Austin expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.17
Los Angeles FC and Austin attack and defence ratings
Los Angeles FC
Austin
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
- FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders — team news & stats
- Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union
- Nashville SC v Sporting Kansas City — match page
- St. Louis City vs Vancouver Whitecaps — team news & stats
- Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes
- Colorado Rapids v Minnesota United FC — match page
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers — team news & stats
- San Diego v Houston Dynamo — match page
Before and after this match
Los Angeles FC vs Austin markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Los Angeles FC | 59.3% | 1.69 | -28.3% | 1.44 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.3% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.9% | 1.62 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Los Angeles FC | 59.3% |
| Draw | 22.9% | |
| Austin | 17.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.0% |
| No | 55.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Los Angeles FC win | 16.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 61.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.7% |
| 0-0 | 12.7% | |
| 1-0 | 12.0% |
Los Angeles FC vs Austin stats
Los Angeles FC and Austin recent form
| Los Angeles FC |
LDLWDD |
| Austin |
DDWDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Los Angeles FC and Austin season so far
Los Angeles FC record
- They have won 11 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Austin record
- They have won 7 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 26 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Los Angeles FC vs Austin head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | Austin | Los Angeles FC | Major League Soccer | 0-0 |
| 2025-11-03 | Austin | Los Angeles FC | Major League Soccer | 1-4 |
| 2025-10-30 | Los Angeles FC | Austin | Major League Soccer | 2-1 |
| 2025-10-12 | Austin | Los Angeles FC | Major League Soccer | 1-0 |
| 2025-03-15 | Los Angeles FC | Austin | Major League Soccer | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Los Angeles FC vs Austin odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 66.4%, draw 20.0%, away 13.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.40 | 4.50 | 7.00 |
| Betano | 1.42 | 4.75 | 7.20 |
| Betfair | 1.36 | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.42 | 5.00 | 6.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.42 | 4.70 | 6.30 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 4.40 | 5.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .