Seattle Sounders
vs
Houston Dynamo
Garuda Lions Prediction: Seattle Sounders
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.60 vs 0.97.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo
| Probability | Seattle Sounders | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.8% | 27.4% | 21.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 50.8% | 27.4% | 21.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Seattle Sounders
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.60 vs 0.97.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo match preview
In the upcoming match between Seattle Sounders and Houston Dynamo, the Seattle Sounders hold a 51% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 27% and Houston Dynamo at 22%. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 1-0 in favor of Seattle, with an 11% likelihood. Expected goals suggest Seattle will score 1.60 compared to Houston's 0.97, indicating a potential advantage for the home side.
Recent form shows Seattle Sounders with a record of D-L-W-W-W-W, while Houston Dynamo has struggled with D-D-D-L-D-L. In their last three encounters, Seattle has secured 2 wins and 1 draw against Houston, who has yet to win in this head-to-head matchup. Both teams have a 51% chance of scoring, with a 48% probability of the match featuring over 2.5 goals.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Seattle Sounders and Houston Dynamo expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.57
Seattle Sounders and Houston Dynamo attack and defence ratings
Seattle Sounders
Houston Dynamo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 32 fixtures
- FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew
- Chicago Fire v Orlando City SC — match page
- Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City — team news & stats
- Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union
- Austin v Real Salt Lake — match page
- St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers — team news & stats
- San Jose Earthquakes v Colorado Rapids — match page
- Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Seattle Sounders | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.5% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.9% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.2% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Seattle Sounders | 50.8% |
| Draw | 27.4% | |
| Houston Dynamo | 21.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.9% |
| No | 49.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Seattle Sounders win | 27.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.3% | |
| Loss | 49.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.1% |
| 1-0 | 11.0% | |
| 2-0 | 9.8% |
Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo stats
Seattle Sounders and Houston Dynamo recent form
| Seattle Sounders |
DLWWWW |
| Houston Dynamo |
DDDLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Seattle Sounders and Houston Dynamo season so far
Seattle Sounders record
- They have won 11 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Houston Dynamo record
- They have won 13 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Houston Dynamo | Seattle Sounders | Major League Soccer | 0-1 |
| 2025-05-11 | Houston Dynamo | Seattle Sounders | Major League Soccer | 1-3 |
| 2025-03-23 | Seattle Sounders | Houston Dynamo | Major League Soccer | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.