Portland Timbers
vs
Houston Dynamo
Garuda Lions Prediction: Portland Timbers
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo
| Probability | Portland Timbers | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.3% | 27.4% | 33.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 39.3% | 27.4% | 33.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Portland Timbers
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo match preview
Portland Timbers face Houston Dynamo in a matchup where the probabilities indicate a competitive contest. The Timbers have a 39% chance of winning, while Houston Dynamo stands at 33%, with a 27% likelihood of a draw. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Portland, with a 9% probability. Both teams are expected to contribute to the score, as the model suggests a 58% chance that both will find the net.
In terms of recent form, Portland Timbers have recorded one win, two draws, and three losses in their last six matches. Conversely, Houston Dynamo has struggled with four draws and two losses in their recent outings. Expected goals figures show Portland at 1.48 and Houston at 1.35, indicating a closely matched encounter.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Portland Timbers and Houston Dynamo expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.83
Portland Timbers and Houston Dynamo attack and defence ratings
Portland Timbers
Houston Dynamo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 33 fixtures
- San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake
- Los Angeles Galaxy v Austin — match page
- Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire — team news & stats
- Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders
- Atlanta United FC v Toronto FC — match page
- Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls
- New England Revolution v Inter Miami — match page
- Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota United FC — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Portland Timbers | 39.3% | 2.55 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Portland Timbers | 39.3% |
| Draw | 27.4% | |
| Houston Dynamo | 33.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.3% |
| No | 41.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Portland Timbers win | 19.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.7% | |
| Loss | 60.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.0% |
| 2-1 | 8.7% | |
| 1-2 | 7.9% |
Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo stats
Portland Timbers and Houston Dynamo recent form
| Portland Timbers |
WDLDLL |
| Houston Dynamo |
DDDDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Portland Timbers and Houston Dynamo season so far
Portland Timbers record
- They have won 10 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 31 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Houston Dynamo record
- They have won 13 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | Houston Dynamo | Portland Timbers | Major League Soccer | 3-2 |
| 2025-09-21 | Houston Dynamo | Portland Timbers | Major League Soccer | 1-0 |
| 2025-03-30 | Portland Timbers | Houston Dynamo | Major League Soccer | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.