Burkina Faso
vs
Benin
1 – 1 Full time
| 19′ | Junior Olaitan | ||
| 20′ | Lassina Traore | ||
| 45′ | Rachid KoudaAxel Sountonoma Taonsa | ||
| 57′ | Lassina Traore | ||
| 68′ | Aiyegun Tosin | ||
| 71′ | Lassina TraorePierre Landry Kabore | ||
| 71′ | Ismahila OuédraogoChec Bebel Doumbia | ||
| 72′ | Axel Sountonoma TaonsaMoïse Elohim Victoire Kaboré | ||
| 80′ | Yamirou OuorouAttidjikou Samadou | ||
| 81′ | Rodolfo AlokoOlatoundji Tessilimi | ||
| 87′ | Edmond TapsobaPakwo Abdoul Rachide Gnanou | ||
| 88′ | Aiyegun TosinJoseph Oloko Ede | ||
| 90′ | Junior OlaitanDokou Dodo |
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 7 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 64 | Possession % | 36 |
| 9 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 4 | Saves | 1 |
| 421 | Accurate passes | 223 |
Burkina Faso vs Benin overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Burkina Faso vs Benin
| Probability | Burkina Faso | Draw | Benin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 63.7% | 22.6% | 13.7% |
| Market | 62.7% | 24.3% | 13.0% |
| Final | 63.0% | 23.8% | 13.2% |
| Edge | +1.0% | -1.7% | +0.7% |
Why Burkina Faso
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.12 vs 0.74.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Burkina Faso and Benin expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.86
Burkina Faso and Benin attack and defence ratings
Burkina Faso
Benin
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Burkina Faso vs Benin: result vs prediction
Burkina Faso 1 – 1 Benin
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Group Stage - 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Burkina Faso vs Benin markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Burkina Faso | 63.0% | 1.59 | +1.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.8% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Burkina Faso win | 44.7% | 2.24 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Burkina Faso | 63.0% |
| Draw | 23.8% | |
| Benin | 13.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.7% |
| No | 50.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 37.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Burkina Faso win | 44.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.6% | |
| Loss | 31.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.8% |
| 1-0 | 10.9% | |
| 1-1 | 10.8% |
Burkina Faso vs Benin stats
Burkina Faso and Benin recent form
| Burkina Faso |
LWLWWW |
| Benin |
LLWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Burkina Faso vs Benin head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-18 | Burkina Faso | Benin | Friendlies | 3-0 |
| 2017-05-21 | Benin | Burkina Faso | Friendlies | 2-2 |
| 2017-05-04 | Burkina Faso | Benin | Friendlies | 1-1 |
| 2015-11-17 | Burkina Faso | Benin | World Cup - Qualification Africa | 2-0 |
| 2015-11-12 | Benin | Burkina Faso | World Cup - Qualification Africa | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Burkina Faso vs Benin odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 61.9%, draw 24.6%, away 13.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.47 | 3.82 | 7.31 |
| Bet365 | 1.45 | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.45 | 3.70 | 7.50 |
| Betano | 1.50 | 3.80 | 6.70 |
| Betfair | 1.47 | 3.60 | 6.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.46 | 3.82 | 7.20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.52 | 3.60 | 7.10 |
| SBO | 1.42 | 3.39 | 5.99 |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 3.50 | 6.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .