Namibia
vs
Congo
1 – 0 Full time
| 40′ | Wendell Rudath | ||
| 45′ | Christopher IbayiMons Rogeani Bassouamina | ||
| 47′ | Bethuel Muzeu | ||
| 62′ | Domi Jaures MassoumouYvan Ikia Dimi | ||
| 62′ | Fred José DembiBeni Namboka | ||
| 62′ | Chandrel MassangaMerveil Ndockyt | ||
| 69′ | Wendell RudathStoffel Witbeen | ||
| 76′ | P. Amutenya | ||
| 80′ | M. ShidoloSergio Damaseb | ||
| 80′ | P. AmutenyaIvan Kamberipa | ||
| 83′ | Morgan PoatyDeo Bassinga | ||
| 89′ | Charles HambiraKennedy Eib | ||
| 89′ | P. ShalulileTyrese Hikupembe | ||
| 90′ | Bryan Passi |
Match stats
| 9 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 53 | Possession % | 47 |
| 9 | Corners | 7 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Offsides | 1 |
| 3 | Saves | 3 |
| 263 | Accurate passes | 215 |
Namibia vs Congo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Namibia vs Congo
| Probability | Namibia | Draw | Congo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.5% | 27.3% | 31.2% |
| Market | 38.3% | 31.4% | 30.3% |
| Final | 39.1% | 30.4% | 30.6% |
| Edge | +3.2% | -4.1% | +0.9% |
Why Namibia
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Namibia below the model: +3.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Namibia and Congo expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.82
Namibia and Congo attack and defence ratings
Namibia
Congo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Namibia vs Congo: result vs prediction
Namibia 1 – 0 Congo
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Group Stage - 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Namibia vs Congo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Namibia | 39.1% | 2.56 | +3.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Namibia | 39.1% |
| Draw | 30.4% | |
| Congo | 30.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.0% |
| No | 42.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Namibia win | 21.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.4% | |
| Loss | 58.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 2-1 | 9.0% | |
| 1-0 | 7.9% |
Namibia vs Congo stats
Namibia vs Congo head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-11-11 | Congo | Namibia | World Cup - Qualification Africa | 1-1 |
| 2021-09-02 | Namibia | Congo | World Cup - Qualification Africa | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Namibia vs Congo odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 38.3%, draw 31.4%, away 30.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.36 | 3.04 | 3.06 |
| Bet365 | 2.40 | 2.88 | 2.88 |
| BetVictor | 2.38 | 2.90 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.40 | 2.92 | 3.10 |
| Betfair | 2.50 | 3.00 | 2.70 |
| Marathonbet | 2.34 | 3.04 | 3.04 |
| Pinnacle | 2.44 | 2.89 | 3.10 |
| SBO | 2.28 | 2.77 | 2.85 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 2.80 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .