Mauritania
vs
Central African Republic
3 – 1 Full time
| 4′ | M. Yapéndé | ||
| 29′ | Edwin Quarshie | ||
| 31′ | Dominique Youfeigane | ||
| 32′ | Aboubakary Koita | ||
| 42′ | Nouh Mohamed El Abd | ||
| 45′ | Nouh Mohamed El AbdIbrahima Keita | ||
| 48′ | Goduine Koyalipou | ||
| 60′ | Julien Kouadio | ||
| 63′ | Edwin QuarshieJames Emmanuel Okeke | ||
| 64′ | Badara DiomandéIsaac Solet Bomawoko | ||
| 66′ | Idrissa ThiamAhmed M'Bracek | ||
| 66′ | Aly AbeidKhadim Diaw | ||
| 69′ | Dawda Camara Sankharé | ||
| 74′ | Julien Kouadio | ||
| 77′ | Goduine KoyalipouDelphin Mokonou | ||
| 77′ | Moustapha DjimetF. Yangao | ||
| 83′ | Dawda Camara SankharéMamadou Diallo | ||
| 83′ | Djeidi GassamaAbdallahi Mahmoud | ||
| 83′ | Salomon SambiaSéverin Tatolna | ||
| 89′ | Mamadou Diallo |
Match stats
| 19 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 59 | Possession % | 41 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 21 |
| 6 | Offsides | 2 |
| 4 | Saves | 5 |
| 362 | Accurate passes | 222 |
Mauritania vs Central African Republic overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mauritania vs Central African Republic
| Probability | Mauritania | Draw | Central African Republic |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 19.4% | 28.2% | 52.4% |
| Market | 53.6% | 28.4% | 18.0% |
| Final | 45.0% | 28.4% | 26.6% |
| Edge | -34.2% | -0.2% | +34.4% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Mauritania and Central African Republic expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.40
Mauritania and Central African Republic attack and defence ratings
Mauritania
Central African Republic
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Mauritania vs Central African Republic: result vs prediction
Mauritania 3 – 1 Central African Republic
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Group Stage - 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Mauritania vs Central African Republic markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mauritania | 45.0% | 2.22 | -34.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 78.7% | 1.27 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mauritania | 45.0% |
| Draw | 28.4% | |
| Central African Republic | 26.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.6% |
| No | 54.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mauritania win | 7.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 13.8% | |
| Loss | 78.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.2% |
| 0-1 | 13.2% | |
| 0-2 | 11.0% |
Mauritania vs Central African Republic stats
Mauritania and Central African Republic recent form
| Mauritania |
LDDWLD |
| Central African Republic |
WLLLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Mauritania vs Central African Republic head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-09 | Central African Republic | Mauritania | African Nations Championship | 0-1 |
| 2025-06-06 | Mauritania | Central African Republic | Friendlies | 2-1 |
| 2021-03-30 | Central African Republic | Mauritania | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification | 0-1 |
| 2019-11-19 | Mauritania | Central African Republic | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Mauritania vs Central African Republic odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 53.6%, draw 28.4%, away 18.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.70 | 3.35 | 5.19 |
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 3.20 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 3.25 | 5.00 |
| Betano | 1.72 | 3.25 | 5.20 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 3.20 | 4.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.68 | 3.35 | 5.20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.74 | 3.19 | 5.25 |
| William Hill | 1.73 | 3.10 | 4.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .