Benin
vs
Mauritania
2 – 1 Full time
| 31′ | Rodolfo Aloko | ||
| 46′ | Rodolfo Aloko | ||
| 57′ | Abdallahi MahmoudMamadou Fofana | ||
| 57′ | Bodda MouhsineMamadou Diallo | ||
| 66′ | Charlemagne Azongnitode | ||
| 69′ | Mohamed Ali DiadieIbrahima Keita | ||
| 76′ | Dawda Camara SankharéHemeya Tanjy | ||
| 76′ | Oumar NgomAbdoullah Ba | ||
| 80′ | Aboubakary Koita | ||
| 81′ | Junior OlaitanDokou Dodo | ||
| 81′ | Yamirou OuorouOlatoundji Tessilimi | ||
| 87′ | Rodolfo AlokoMatteo Ahlinvi | ||
| 90′ | Aiyegun TosinAttidjikou Samadou |
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 46 | Possession % | 54 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 20 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Offsides | 4 |
| 2 | Saves | 4 |
| 225 | Accurate passes | 282 |
Benin vs Mauritania overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Benin vs Mauritania
| Probability | Benin | Draw | Mauritania |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.4% | 32.4% | 25.1% |
| Market | 37.6% | 32.0% | 30.4% |
| Final | 38.8% | 32.1% | 29.1% |
| Edge | +4.9% | +0.4% | -5.3% |
Why Benin
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.20 vs 0.84.
- The market prices Benin below the model: +4.9 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Benin and Mauritania expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.03
Benin and Mauritania attack and defence ratings
Benin
Mauritania
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Benin vs Mauritania: result vs prediction
Benin 2 – 1 Mauritania
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Group Stage - 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Benin vs Mauritania markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Benin | 38.8% | 2.58 | +4.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Benin | 38.8% |
| Draw | 32.1% | |
| Mauritania | 29.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 66.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.4% |
| No | 58.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Benin win | 19.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.6% | |
| Loss | 57.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.5% |
| 0-0 | 14.2% | |
| 1-0 | 14.0% |
Benin vs Mauritania stats
Benin and Mauritania recent form
| Benin |
DLLWLL |
| Mauritania |
WLDDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Benin vs Mauritania head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-06-18 | Benin | Mauritania | Friendlies | 3-1 |
| 2017-03-24 | Mauritania | Benin | Friendlies | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Benin vs Mauritania odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 37.6%, draw 32.0%, away 30.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.43 | 2.95 | 3.05 |
| Bet365 | 2.45 | 2.90 | 2.90 |
| BetVictor | 2.40 | 2.88 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.57 | 2.85 | 2.95 |
| Betfair | 2.40 | 2.75 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.41 | 2.95 | 3.02 |
| Pinnacle | 2.66 | 2.47 | 3.38 |
| SBO | 2.32 | 2.75 | 2.80 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 2.70 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .