Lesotho
vs
Morocco
0 – 2 Full time
| 45′ | Brahim Díaz | ||
| 45′ | Teboho LetsemaBakuena Ramakatsa | ||
| 56′ | Katleho KoeaneTlotliso Mapola | ||
| 56′ | Sera MotebangMolefi Kuzaya Kulehile | ||
| 68′ | Neil El AynaouiAbde Ezzalzouli | ||
| 69′ | Noussair MazraouiAchraf Hakimi | ||
| 69′ | Brahim DíazSoufiane Rahimi | ||
| 73′ | Oussama Targhalline | ||
| 82′ | Azzedine Ounahi | ||
| 84′ | T. MafatleKoete Mohloai | ||
| 84′ | Ismael SaibariTawfik Bentayeb | ||
| 84′ | Azzedine OunahiSoufiane El-Faouzi | ||
| 85′ | Soufiane Rahimi |
Match stats
| 6 | Shots | 19 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 20 | Possession % | 80 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Offsides | 3 |
| 3 | Saves | 1 |
| 136 | Accurate passes | 766 |
Lesotho vs Morocco overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lesotho vs Morocco
| Probability | Lesotho | Draw | Morocco |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 17.1% | 31.3% | 51.7% |
| Market | 2.4% | 7.2% | 90.4% |
| Final | 6.1% | 13.2% | 80.7% |
| Edge | +14.7% | +24.1% | -38.8% |
Why Morocco
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.31 vs 0.64.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Lesotho and Morocco expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.95
Lesotho and Morocco attack and defence ratings
Lesotho
Morocco
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Lesotho vs Morocco: result vs prediction
Lesotho 0 – 2 Morocco
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Group Stage - 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Lesotho vs Morocco markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Morocco | 80.7% | 1.24 | -38.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 93.9% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.2% | 2.07 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lesotho | 6.1% |
| Draw | 13.2% | |
| Morocco | 80.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 31.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 68.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 35.8% |
| No | 64.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 19.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 86.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 93.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Morocco win | 25.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.5% | |
| Loss | 48.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 17.4% |
| 0-0 | 15.4% | |
| 1-1 | 13.1% |
Lesotho vs Morocco stats
Lesotho vs Morocco head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-18 | Morocco | Lesotho | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification | 7-0 |
| 2024-09-09 | Lesotho | Morocco | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Lesotho vs Morocco odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 2.4%, draw 7.2%, away 90.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 43.00 | 15.50 | 1.00 |
| Bet365 | 34.00 | 15.00 | 1.04 |
| BetVictor | 26.00 | 10.50 | 1.04 |
| Betano | 50.00 | 9.75 | 1.04 |
| Betfair | 36.00 | 13.00 | 1.03 |
| Marathonbet | 43.00 | 15.50 | 1.00 |
| Pinnacle | 29.00 | 13.15 | 1.04 |
| William Hill | 51.00 | 13.00 | 1.04 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .