Botswana
vs
Tunisia
2 – 2 Full time
| 38′ | T. Kgamanyane | ||
| 43′ | Gape Mohutsiwa | ||
| 44′ | H. Mastouri | ||
| 49′ | H. Mastouri | ||
| 54′ | O. RamotseL. Ditsele | ||
| 54′ | T. KgamanyaneL. Ratshukudu | ||
| 60′ | L. Ditsele | ||
| 64′ | F. SassiM. Ben Romdhane | ||
| 64′ | A. SlimaneE. Achouri | ||
| 78′ | Mosha Gaolaolwe | ||
| 81′ | Ismael Gharbi | ||
| 83′ | S. LtaiefS. Tounekti | ||
| 84′ | M. NasraouiA. Cherni | ||
| 88′ | A. LaidouniR. Elloumi | ||
| 90′ | Kitso Mangolo |
Match stats
| 6 | Shots | 26 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 31 | Possession % | 69 |
| 2 | Corners | 11 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 6 | Saves | 1 |
| 192 | Accurate passes | 519 |
Botswana vs Tunisia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Botswana vs Tunisia
| Probability | Botswana | Draw | Tunisia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.6% | 25.6% | 40.8% |
| Market | 79.4% | 15.7% | 4.9% |
| Final | 67.9% | 18.2% | 13.9% |
| Edge | -45.8% | +10.0% | +35.8% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Botswana and Tunisia expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.22
Botswana and Tunisia attack and defence ratings
Botswana
Tunisia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Botswana vs Tunisia: result vs prediction
Botswana 2 – 2 Tunisia
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Group Stage - 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Botswana vs Tunisia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Botswana | 67.9% | 1.47 | -45.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.9% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.1% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.8% | 1.48 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Botswana | 67.9% |
| Draw | 18.2% | |
| Tunisia | 13.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.9% |
| No | 36.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 32.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Botswana win | 15.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.7% | |
| Loss | 67.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.6% |
| 1-2 | 8.8% | |
| 2-1 | 7.9% |
Botswana vs Tunisia stats
Botswana vs Tunisia head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-09-07 | Tunisia | Botswana | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification | 3-0 |
| 2022-06-05 | Botswana | Tunisia | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Botswana vs Tunisia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 79.4%, draw 15.7%, away 4.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.15 | 6.15 | 19.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.17 | 5.50 | 15.00 |
| Betfair | 1.13 | 5.50 | 18.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.15 | 6.15 | 19.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .