Libya
vs
Botswana
2 – 2 Full time
| 15′ | Tebogo Kopelang | ||
| 30′ | Tumisang Orebonye | ||
| 42′ | Tumisang Orebonye | ||
| 45′ | Mohammed KhaleelMuad Abdulbasit Salem Eisa | ||
| 60′ | Mahmoud Al ShilwAmjed Al Gsheim | ||
| 61′ | Tumisang OrebonyeEric ookame | ||
| 61′ | Olebogeng RamotseMothusi Cooper | ||
| 69′ | Sobhi Al DawiAbdulmunem Aleiyan | ||
| 69′ | Osama Mukhtar Al ShremiSayfulnasr Judour | ||
| 73′ | Hamdou Elhouni | ||
| 77′ | Thero SetsileBoikobo Rannyena | ||
| 79′ | Thatayaone KgamanyaneChicco Molefe | ||
| 87′ | Maruwan Alhibeeshi | ||
| 87′ | Maruwan AlhibeeshiAhmed Alsuwee | ||
| 90′ | Kitso Mangolo | ||
| 90′ | Ezzeddine Maryami |
Match stats
| 24 | Shots | 6 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 70 | Possession % | 30 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 7 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Offsides | 4 |
| 1 | Saves | 5 |
| 591 | Accurate passes | 187 |
Libya vs Botswana overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Libya vs Botswana
| Probability | Libya | Draw | Botswana |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.5% | 30.4% | 25.1% |
| Market | 58.0% | 26.8% | 15.2% |
| Final | 54.6% | 27.7% | 17.7% |
| Edge | -13.5% | +3.6% | +9.9% |
Why Libya
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.45 vs 0.92.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Libya and Botswana expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.37
Libya and Botswana attack and defence ratings
Libya
Botswana
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Libya vs Botswana: result vs prediction
Libya 2 – 2 Botswana
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Group Stage - 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Libya vs Botswana markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Libya | 54.6% | 1.83 | -13.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.3% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Libya | 54.6% |
| Draw | 27.7% | |
| Botswana | 17.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.3% |
| No | 53.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Libya win | 24.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.6% | |
| Loss | 51.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.2% |
| 1-0 | 12.4% | |
| 0-0 | 11.5% |
Libya vs Botswana stats
Libya vs Botswana head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-06-17 | Botswana | Libya | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification | 1-0 |
| 2022-06-01 | Libya | Botswana | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Libya vs Botswana odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 58.0%, draw 26.8%, away 15.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.57 | 3.56 | 6.19 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 3.30 | 5.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.57 | 3.40 | 6.00 |
| Betano | 1.62 | 3.40 | 6.00 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 3.20 | 5.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.55 | 3.56 | 6.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.58 | 3.49 | 6.31 |
| SBO | 1.55 | 3.19 | 5.32 |
| William Hill | 1.60 | 3.20 | 5.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .