Uganda
vs
Libya
1 – 0 Full time
| 45′ | Arnold Vula Lamb Luth | ||
| 51′ | Fadel Libya Ali Salama | ||
| 55′ | Abdulmunem AleiyanAmjed Al Gsheim | ||
| 59′ | Arnold Vula Lamb LuthKelvin Owusu Boateng | ||
| 62′ | Sayfulnasr Judour | ||
| 66′ | Maruwan AlhibeeshiOsama Mukhtar Al Shremi | ||
| 73′ | Muad Abdulbasit Salem EisaAhmed Alsuwee | ||
| 77′ | Rogers Mato | ||
| 78′ | Allan OkelloDenis Omedi | ||
| 86′ | Mahmoud Al Shilw | ||
| 87′ | Rogers MatoAllan Oyirwoth |
Match stats
| 6 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 45 | Possession % | 55 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 21 |
| 3 | Offsides | 1 |
| 5 | Saves | 0 |
| 279 | Accurate passes | 370 |
Uganda vs Libya overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Uganda vs Libya
| Probability | Uganda | Draw | Libya |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.2% | 28.9% | 27.9% |
| Market | 47.4% | 30.4% | 22.2% |
| Final | 46.4% | 30.0% | 23.6% |
| Edge | -4.2% | -1.4% | +5.6% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Uganda and Libya expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.47
Uganda and Libya attack and defence ratings
Uganda
Libya
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Uganda vs Libya: result vs prediction
Uganda 1 – 0 Libya
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Group Stage - 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Uganda vs Libya markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Uganda | 46.4% | 2.16 | -4.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Uganda | 46.4% |
| Draw | 30.0% | |
| Libya | 23.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.9% |
| No | 48.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Uganda win | 18.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 61.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 1-0 | 10.2% | |
| 0-0 | 9.3% |
Uganda vs Libya stats
Uganda vs Libya head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-09-21 | Libya | Uganda | Friendlies | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Uganda vs Libya odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.4%, draw 30.4%, away 22.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.90 | 3.14 | 4.27 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.10 | 4.10 |
| BetVictor | 1.93 | 3.00 | 4.10 |
| Betano | 2.05 | 2.95 | 4.00 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.88 | 3.14 | 4.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.95 | 2.95 | 4.43 |
| SBO | 1.92 | 2.74 | 3.41 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 2.88 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .