Equatorial Guinea
vs
Sierra Leone
1 – 0 Full time
| 1′ | Lorenzo Zúñiga Owono | ||
| 27′ | Saidu Bah Kamara | ||
| 61′ | Momoh Ibrahim KamaraJosh Koroma | ||
| 62′ | Santiago EnemeCristian Makate | ||
| 62′ | Dorian HanzaSalomon Obama | ||
| 71′ | Charles OndoPrince Ngaah | ||
| 74′ | Lorenzo Zúñiga Owono | ||
| 74′ | Alie ContehSullay Kaikai | ||
| 75′ | Tyrese FornahD. Kanu | ||
| 82′ | Alpha TurayMichael-John Kamson-Kamara | ||
| 85′ | Lorenzo Zúñiga OwonoEnrique Lotar | ||
| 86′ | Jannick BuylaGael Joel Akogo |
Match stats
| 8 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 0 |
| 39 | Possession % | 61 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 20 | Fouls | 20 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 0 | Saves | 1 |
| 220 | Accurate passes | 387 |
Equatorial Guinea vs Sierra Leone overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Equatorial Guinea vs Sierra Leone
| Probability | Equatorial Guinea | Draw | Sierra Leone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.1% | 30.9% | 33.9% |
| Market | 47.0% | 29.5% | 23.5% |
| Final | 44.0% | 29.9% | 26.1% |
| Edge | -11.9% | +1.4% | +10.5% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Equatorial Guinea and Sierra Leone expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.31
Equatorial Guinea and Sierra Leone attack and defence ratings
Equatorial Guinea
Sierra Leone
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Equatorial Guinea vs Sierra Leone: result vs prediction
Equatorial Guinea 1 – 0 Sierra Leone
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Group Stage - 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Equatorial Guinea vs Sierra Leone markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Equatorial Guinea | 44.0% | 2.27 | -11.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Equatorial Guinea | 44.0% |
| Draw | 29.9% | |
| Sierra Leone | 26.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.2% |
| No | 51.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Equatorial Guinea win | 15.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.9% | |
| Loss | 64.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 11.2% | |
| 1-0 | 10.3% |
Equatorial Guinea vs Sierra Leone stats
Equatorial Guinea and Sierra Leone recent form
| Equatorial Guinea |
LLLLDL |
| Sierra Leone |
LWLWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Equatorial Guinea vs Sierra Leone head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-01-20 | Sierra Leone | Equatorial Guinea | Africa Cup of Nations | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Equatorial Guinea vs Sierra Leone odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.0%, draw 29.5%, away 23.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.95 | 3.18 | 3.96 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.10 | 3.80 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.10 | 3.90 |
| Betano | 2.10 | 3.10 | 3.60 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.93 | 3.18 | 3.94 |
| Pinnacle | 1.98 | 3.02 | 4.15 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 2.90 | 3.90 |