Congo DR
vs
Equatorial Guinea
2 – 0 Full time
| 4′ | Chancel Mbemba | ||
| 40′ | Marvin AniebohEnmanuel Mbomio Angue | ||
| 45′ | Jannick Buyla | ||
| 49′ | Aaron Wan-Bissaka | ||
| 59′ | Theo BongondaBrian Cipenga | ||
| 62′ | Jannick BuylaLorenzo Zúñiga Owono | ||
| 63′ | Pepín MachínCristian Makate | ||
| 63′ | Esteban Orozco | ||
| 70′ | Edo KayembeNgal'ayel Mukau | ||
| 72′ | Yoane Wissa | ||
| 86′ | Santiago EnemeEnrique Lotar | ||
| 86′ | Dorian HanzaGael Joel Akogo | ||
| 89′ | Nathanael MbukuJunior Kadile | ||
| 89′ | Yoane WissaFiston Mayele |
Match stats
| 16 | Shots | 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 58 | Possession % | 42 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Offsides | 3 |
| 2 | Saves | 3 |
| 495 | Accurate passes | 339 |
Congo DR vs Equatorial Guinea overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Congo DR vs Equatorial Guinea
| Probability | Congo DR | Draw | Equatorial Guinea |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.4% | 32.0% | 32.6% |
| Market | 71.4% | 20.4% | 8.2% |
| Final | 62.4% | 23.3% | 14.3% |
| Edge | -36.0% | +11.7% | +24.3% |
Why Congo DR
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Congo DR and Equatorial Guinea expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.24
Congo DR and Equatorial Guinea attack and defence ratings
Congo DR
Equatorial Guinea
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Congo DR vs Equatorial Guinea: result vs prediction
Congo DR 2 – 0 Equatorial Guinea
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Group Stage - 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Congo DR vs Equatorial Guinea markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Congo DR | 62.4% | 1.60 | -36.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.1% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.7% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Congo DR | 62.4% |
| Draw | 23.3% | |
| Equatorial Guinea | 14.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.1% |
| No | 54.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 37.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Congo DR win | 17.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.3% | |
| Loss | 61.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.8% |
| 0-0 | 12.8% | |
| 1-0 | 11.4% |
Congo DR vs Equatorial Guinea stats
Congo DR and Equatorial Guinea recent form
| Congo DR |
LWLDWL |
| Equatorial Guinea |
LLLDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Congo DR vs Equatorial Guinea head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-02-07 | Congo DR | Equatorial Guinea | Africa Cup of Nations | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Congo DR vs Equatorial Guinea odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 71.4%, draw 20.4%, away 8.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.27 | 4.90 | 11.30 |
| Bet365 | 1.27 | 4.20 | 11.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.25 | 4.75 | 12.00 |
| Betano | 1.31 | 4.45 | 11.00 |
| Betfair | 1.33 | 3.90 | 10.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.26 | 4.90 | 11.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.27 | 4.82 | 12.71 |
| SBO | 1.26 | 4.30 | 8.68 |
| William Hill | 1.29 | 4.20 | 11.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .