Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Full time ·Group Stage - 1

Cameroon vs Comoros

3 – 1 Full time

39′David Roi Nyengue
45′Christian KofaneBil Nsongo
48′Bryan Mbeumo
50′Mahamadou Nagida
51′Warmed Omari
59′Yassine SaindouYacine Bourhane
64′Saidou Alioum Moubarak
68′Iyad MohamedRayan Lutin
68′Kassim HadjiHousseine·Zakouani
72′David Roi NyengueRyan Fosso
72′Saidou Alioum MoubarakJunior Tchamadeu
75′Kenan ToibibouIdris Mohamed
81′Danny Namaso
84′Mahamadou NagidaLilian Njoh
86′Housseine·Zakouani
88′Danny NamasoKevin Keben

Stade Roumde Adjia, GarouaReferee: A. Kasim

Cameroon 62%
Draw 25%
Comoros 13%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

24 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 3
66 Possession % 34
9 Corners 3
12 Fouls 5
0 Offsides 3
2 Saves 1
498 Accurate passes 241

Cameroon vs Comoros overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Cameroon vs Comoros

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCameroonDrawComoros
Model40.3%35.4%24.4%
Market68.8%21.4%9.8%
Final61.7%24.9%13.5%
Edge-28.5%+14.0%+14.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Cameroon

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.14 vs 0.61.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Cameroon ↓ / Comoros → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 19% 9% 1 19% 13% 2 11% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 81%
2+ goals 54%
3+ goals 26%
No goals 19%

Cameroon and Comoros expected goals

Cameroon 1.14
Comoros 0.61

Total expected goals: 1.75

Cameroon and Comoros attack and defence ratings

Cameroon

Attack 1.05 +5%
Defence 0.80 -20%

Comoros

Attack 0.68 -32%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Cameroon vs Comoros: result vs prediction

Cameroon 3 – 1 Comoros

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Group Stage - 1 fixtures

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Before and after this match

Cameroon vs Comoros markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Cameroon 61.7% 1.62 -28.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 74.1% 1.35 — —
Both teams to score No 65.3% 1.53 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 86.5% 1.16 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 52.7% 1.90 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Cameroon61.7%
Draw24.9%
Comoros13.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.525.9%
Under 2.574.1%
Both teams to scoreYes34.7%
No65.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)86.5%
12 (either side)75.1%
X2 (draw or away)38.3%
Handicap -1Cameroon win21.0%
Push (exactly one goal)26.3%
Loss52.7%
Correct score (top 3)0-018.5%
1-016.3%
1-114.3%

Cameroon vs Comoros stats

Cameroon and Comoros recent form

newest first
Cameroon LWWDWL
Comoros DDLLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Cameroon vs Comoros head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

2Cameroon wins 1Draws 0Comoros wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2022-01-24CameroonComorosAfrica Cup of Nations2-1
2019-03-23CameroonComorosAfrica Cup of Nations3-0
2018-09-08ComorosCameroonAfrica Cup of Nations1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Cameroon vs Comoros odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 68.8%, draw 21.4%, away 9.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.34 4.40 9.40
Bet365 1.33 4.20 7.50
BetVictor 1.33 4.20 9.50
Betano 1.38 4.30 8.25
Betfair 1.25 4.50 11.00
Marathonbet 1.33 4.40 9.30
Pinnacle 1.36 4.28 9.55
SBO 1.31 3.94 8.10
William Hill 1.36 3.90 9.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.33 ▲ +0.15
X 4.28 ▼ -1.42
2 9.30 ▼ -5.15

6 snapshots recorded, from .