Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Full time ·Group Stage - 2

Comoros vs Namibia

1 – 0 Full time

14′M. Shidolo
45′Yannis KariKenan Toibibou
53′Benjaloud Youssouf
63′P. AmutenyaIvan Kamberipa
63′Kassim HadjiHousseine·Zakouani
63′M. ShidoloSergio Damaseb
71′Bethuel MuzeuNestor Tangeni Iyambo
78′Aymeric AhmedZaïd Amir
84′P. ShalulileJ. Petrus
84′Wendell RudathBen Richard Namib
85′Iyad Mohamed
90′Zaydou YoussoufYassine Saindou

Stade omnisports de Malouzini, MoroniReferee: Samuel Uwikunda

Comoros 46%
Draw 31%
Namibia 24%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 4
52 Possession % 48
8 Corners 3
14 Fouls 10
0 Offsides 1
3 Saves 3
344 Accurate passes 300

Comoros vs Namibia overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Comoros vs Namibia

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityComorosDrawNamibia
Model33.4%34.2%32.5%
Market49.6%29.6%20.8%
Final45.5%30.7%23.8%
Edge-16.2%+4.6%+11.6%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Comoros ↓ / Namibia → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 16% 13% 1 13% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 84%
2+ goals 59%
3+ goals 30%
No goals 16%

Comoros and Namibia expected goals

Comoros 0.96
Namibia 0.96

Total expected goals: 1.92

Comoros and Namibia attack and defence ratings

Comoros

Attack 0.67 -33%
Defence 1.07 +7%

Namibia

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Comoros vs Namibia: result vs prediction

Comoros 1 – 0 Namibia

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Group Stage - 2 fixtures

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Before and after this match

Comoros vs Namibia markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Comoros 45.5% 2.20 -16.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 69.4% 1.44 — —
Both teams to score No 60.2% 1.66 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 76.2% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 67.0% 1.49 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Comoros45.5%
Draw30.7%
Namibia23.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.530.6%
Under 2.569.4%
Both teams to scoreYes39.8%
No60.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)76.2%
12 (either side)69.3%
X2 (draw or away)54.5%
Handicap -1Comoros win12.7%
Push (exactly one goal)20.3%
Loss67.0%
Correct score (top 3)0-015.8%
1-114.9%
1-012.7%

Comoros vs Namibia stats

Comoros and Namibia recent form

newest first
Comoros LDDLLL
Namibia WLLWLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Comoros vs Namibia head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

3Comoros wins 2Draws 2Namibia wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-28NamibiaComorosFIFA Series0-0
2025-11-17ComorosNamibiaFriendlies4-0
2025-11-14ComorosNamibiaFriendlies1-0
2019-08-04NamibiaComorosAfrican Nations Championship0-0
2019-07-26ComorosNamibiaAfrican Nations Championship0-2
2017-08-19NamibiaComorosAfrican Nations Championship2-0
2017-08-12ComorosNamibiaAfrican Nations Championship2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Comoros vs Namibia odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 49.6%, draw 29.6%, away 20.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.84 3.20 4.46
Bet365 1.85 3.40 3.80
BetVictor 1.85 3.10 4.33
Betano 1.93 3.00 4.40
Betfair 1.80 3.10 4.40
Marathonbet 1.82 3.20 4.45
Pinnacle 1.87 2.98 4.82
SBO 1.82 2.78 3.69
William Hill 1.85 2.90 4.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.85 ▼ -0.10
X 3.10 ▲ +0.10
2 4.40 ▲ +0.35

2 snapshots recorded, from .