Cameroon
vs
Namibia
Garuda Lions Prediction: Cameroon
1 – 0 Predicted score · 16% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.39 vs 0.69.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Cameroon is the favourite, not a value bet.
Cameroon vs Namibia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cameroon vs Namibia
| Probability | Cameroon | Draw | Namibia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.7% | 30.0% | 17.2% |
| Market | 78.6% | 15.5% | 5.9% |
| Final | 72.1% | 19.1% | 8.7% |
| Edge | -6.5% | +3.6% | +2.8% |
Why Cameroon
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.39 vs 0.69.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.13, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -18.5% per unit staked (our 72.1% × 1.13 − 1).
Cameroon vs Namibia match preview
Cameroon is set to face Namibia in the Africa Cup of Nations qualification match on November 11, 2026. According to our model, Cameroon holds a strong probability of winning at 72%, while Namibia has a lower chance at 9%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0 in favor of Cameroon, with an expected goals tally of 1.39 for Cameroon and 0.69 for Namibia.
Recent form shows Cameroon with mixed results, including two wins and a draw in their last six matches, while Namibia has struggled, recording only one win in their last six outings. The likelihood of both teams scoring is estimated at 39%, and there is a 34% chance of the match featuring over 2.5 goals. The confidence grade for this prediction is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cameroon and Namibia expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.08
Cameroon and Namibia attack and defence ratings
Cameroon
Namibia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Group Stage - 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cameroon vs Namibia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cameroon | 72.1% | 1.39 | -6.5% | 1.13 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 65.5% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.3% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.3% | 2.12 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cameroon | 72.1% |
| Draw | 19.1% | |
| Namibia | 8.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 65.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.6% |
| No | 61.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 27.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cameroon win | 26.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.0% | |
| Loss | 47.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 16.2% |
| 0-0 | 13.7% | |
| 1-1 | 13.2% |
Cameroon vs Namibia stats
Cameroon vs Namibia head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Cameroon vs Namibia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 78.6%, draw 15.5%, away 5.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.13 | 5.73 | 15.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
49 snapshots recorded, from .