Congo
vs
Cameroon
1 – 1 Full time
| 24′ | G Bantsiele | ||
| 45′ | Ryan FossoBil Nsongo | ||
| 45′ | Lilian NjohMahamadou Nagida | ||
| 53′ | Melvin Zinga | ||
| 56′ | William Hondermarck | ||
| 64′ | Mahamadou Nagida | ||
| 68′ | Yhoan AndzouanaJérémy Mounsesse | ||
| 68′ | G BantsieleMons Rogeani Bassouamina | ||
| 72′ | Beni Namboka | ||
| 75′ | Duplexe Tchamba BangouSaidou Alioum Moubarak | ||
| 75′ | Yvan Ikia DimiDomi Jaures Massoumou | ||
| 80′ | Junior TchamadeuJackson Tchatchoua | ||
| 84′ | David Roi Nyengue | ||
| 86′ | Merveil NdockytI. Loemba | ||
| 87′ | David Roi NyengueMaël Fernandez Monyebe |
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 39 | Possession % | 61 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 23 |
| 3 | Offsides | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 6 |
| 158 | Accurate passes | 289 |
Congo vs Cameroon overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Congo vs Cameroon
| Probability | Congo | Draw | Cameroon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 11.7% | 23.0% | 65.3% |
| Market | 16.7% | 25.6% | 57.6% |
| Final | 15.5% | 25.0% | 59.6% |
| Edge | -5.1% | -2.6% | +7.7% |
Why Cameroon
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.84 vs 0.69.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Cameroon below the model: +7.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Congo and Cameroon expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.54
Congo and Cameroon attack and defence ratings
Congo
Cameroon
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Congo vs Cameroon: result vs prediction
Congo 1 – 1 Cameroon
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Group Stage - 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Congo vs Cameroon markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cameroon | 59.6% | 1.68 | +7.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Cameroon win | 38.7% | 2.58 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Congo | 15.5% |
| Draw | 25.0% | |
| Cameroon | 59.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.2% |
| No | 56.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 40.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 84.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cameroon win | 38.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.1% | |
| Loss | 36.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 13.6% |
| 0-1 | 13.3% | |
| 1-1 | 10.8% |
Congo vs Cameroon stats
Congo vs Cameroon head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-01-16 | Cameroon | Congo | African Nations Championship | 1-0 |
| 2020-02-20 | Congo | Cameroon | Friendlies | 1-1 |
| 2018-01-16 | Cameroon | Congo | African Nations Championship | 0-1 |
| 2015-10-31 | Congo | Cameroon | African Nations Championship | 0-1 |
| 2015-10-18 | Cameroon | Congo | African Nations Championship | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Congo vs Cameroon odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 16.7%, draw 25.6%, away 57.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.51 | 3.62 | 1.61 |
| Bet365 | 5.00 | 3.80 | 1.60 |
| BetVictor | 5.75 | 3.50 | 1.57 |
| Betano | 5.90 | 3.90 | 1.67 |
| Betfair | 5.50 | 3.60 | 1.55 |
| Marathonbet | 5.55 | 3.62 | 1.59 |
| Pinnacle | 5.99 | 3.50 | 1.60 |
| SBO | 4.45 | 3.14 | 1.58 |
| William Hill | 5.00 | 3.30 | 1.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .