Central African Republic
vs
Burkina Faso
0 – 1 Full time
| 28′ | Edwin Quarshie | ||
| 33′ | Sacha M'Baka | ||
| 42′ | Arsène Kouassi | ||
| 59′ | Abdoul TapsobaAboubacar Sidiki Camara | ||
| 60′ | Aboubacar Sidiki Camara | ||
| 65′ | Lassina TraoreMoïse Elohim Victoire Kaboré | ||
| 67′ | Badara DiomandéChristian-Theodor Yawanendji-Malipangou | ||
| 67′ | Salomon SambiaDelphin Mokonou | ||
| 67′ | Edwin QuarshieJoël Jordan Ngoya | ||
| 76′ | Sacha M'BakaP. Guinari | ||
| 81′ | Vénuste BaboulaMoustapha Djimet | ||
| 89′ | Ismahila OuédraogoRachid Kouda | ||
| 89′ | Ousseni BoudaPierre Landry Kabore |
Match stats
| 8 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 47 | Possession % | 53 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 24 | Fouls | 22 |
| 1 | Offsides | 5 |
| 1 | Saves | 2 |
| 191 | Accurate passes | 230 |
Central African Republic vs Burkina Faso overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Central African Republic vs Burkina Faso
| Probability | Central African Republic | Draw | Burkina Faso |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 16.7% | 21.6% | 61.7% |
| Market | 10.2% | 21.7% | 68.1% |
| Final | 11.9% | 21.7% | 66.5% |
| Edge | +6.5% | -0.1% | -6.3% |
Why Burkina Faso
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.18 vs 1.07.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Central African Republic and Burkina Faso expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.26
Central African Republic and Burkina Faso attack and defence ratings
Central African Republic
Burkina Faso
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Central African Republic vs Burkina Faso: result vs prediction
Central African Republic 0 – 1 Burkina Faso
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Group Stage - 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Central African Republic vs Burkina Faso markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Burkina Faso | 66.5% | 1.50 | -6.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 88.1% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Burkina Faso win | 39.7% | 2.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Central African Republic | 11.9% |
| Draw | 21.7% | |
| Burkina Faso | 66.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.3% |
| No | 40.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 33.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 88.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Burkina Faso win | 39.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 38.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.9% |
| 1-2 | 9.9% | |
| 0-2 | 9.2% |
Central African Republic vs Burkina Faso stats
Central African Republic and Burkina Faso recent form
| Central African Republic |
LWLLLD |
| Burkina Faso |
DLWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Central African Republic vs Burkina Faso head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-06 | Burkina Faso | Central African Republic | African Nations Championship | 4-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Central African Republic vs Burkina Faso odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 10.2%, draw 21.7%, away 68.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 9.00 | 4.40 | 1.35 |
| Bet365 | 9.00 | 3.90 | 1.36 |
| BetVictor | 9.00 | 4.33 | 1.33 |
| Betano | 7.80 | 3.90 | 1.44 |
| Betfair | 9.00 | 4.20 | 1.30 |
| Marathonbet | 8.90 | 4.40 | 1.34 |
| Pinnacle | 9.17 | 4.30 | 1.36 |
| William Hill | 8.50 | 3.90 | 1.36 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .