Burundi
vs
Algeria
2 – 2 Full time
| 5′ | Fares Chaibi | ||
| 12′ | J. Girumugisha | ||
| 18′ | H. Msanga | ||
| 30′ | Mohamed Belloumi | ||
| 45′ | Mohamed Belloumi | ||
| 45′ | Himad AbdelliAdem Zorgane | ||
| 63′ | Adil Boulbina | ||
| 64′ | Mohamed BelloumiMonsef Bakrar | ||
| 64′ | Adil BoulbinaMohamed Amoura | ||
| 65′ | Asman ndikumanaBonfils-Caleb Bimenyimana | ||
| 65′ | Mossi NduwumweAbdoul Karim Mpawenimana | ||
| 65′ | Fares ChaibiAdil Aouchiche | ||
| 73′ | Amin ChiakhaIlan Kebbal | ||
| 74′ | Mokono Elie EldhinoMohamed Amissi | ||
| 85′ | Bienvenue KanakimanaEmmanuel swedi | ||
| 90′ | Ilan Kebbal |
Match stats
| 13 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 30 | Possession % | 70 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 1 | Saves | 2 |
| 170 | Accurate passes | 521 |
Burundi vs Algeria overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Burundi vs Algeria
| Probability | Burundi | Draw | Algeria |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.9% | 25.0% | 23.0% |
| Market | 9.0% | 19.1% | 72.0% |
| Final | 19.7% | 20.6% | 59.7% |
| Edge | +43.0% | +5.9% | -48.9% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Burundi and Algeria expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.97
Burundi and Algeria attack and defence ratings
Burundi
Algeria
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Burundi vs Algeria: result vs prediction
Burundi 2 – 2 Algeria
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Group Stage - 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Burundi vs Algeria markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Algeria | 59.7% | 1.67 | -48.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 80.3% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Burundi | 19.7% |
| Draw | 20.6% | |
| Algeria | 59.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.9% |
| No | 41.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 40.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 80.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Algeria win | 9.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 13.8% | |
| Loss | 76.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.7% |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | |
| 2-0 | 8.4% |
Burundi vs Algeria stats
Burundi vs Algeria head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-01-09 | Burundi | Algeria | Friendlies | 0-4 |
| 2019-06-11 | Algeria | Burundi | Friendlies | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Burundi vs Algeria odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 9.0%, draw 19.1%, away 72.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 10.30 | 5.00 | 1.28 |
| Bet365 | 10.00 | 4.75 | 1.28 |
| BetVictor | 10.50 | 4.80 | 1.25 |
| Betano | 11.75 | 5.30 | 1.33 |
| Betfair | 10.00 | 4.75 | 1.25 |
| Marathonbet | 10.25 | 5.00 | 1.27 |
| Pinnacle | 10.50 | 4.86 | 1.29 |
| William Hill | 10.00 | 4.60 | 1.29 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .