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Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Full time ·Group Stage - 2

Zimbabwe vs Congo DR

1 – 2 Full time

25′Junior Kadile
30′Yoane Wissa
45′Samuel Moutoussamy
45′Junior KadileBrian Cipenga
45′Andy RinomhotaSean Fusire
45′Tawanda MaswanhiseEmmanuel Jalai
60′Bill Leeroy AntonioDaniel Msendami
60′Shane MaroodzaDivine Lunga
67′Ngal'ayel MukauEdo Kayembe
75′Noah SadikiAaron Tshibola
83′Tawanda ChirewaAbubakar Moffat
84′Yoane WissaSimon Banza
85′Nathanael MbukuTheo Bongonda
87′Samuel Moutoussamy
90′Marshall Munetsi

National Sports Stadium, HarareReferee: Amin Mohamed Omar

Zimbabwe 20%
Draw 30%
Congo DR 50%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 4
49 Possession % 51
6 Corners 1
6 Fouls 16
6 Offsides 1
2 Saves 5
356 Accurate passes 363

Zimbabwe vs Congo DR overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Zimbabwe vs Congo DR

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityZimbabweDrawCongo DR
Model26.1%31.4%42.4%
Market18.3%29.4%52.3%
Final20.3%29.9%49.8%
Edge+7.8%+2.0%-9.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Congo DR

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.25 vs 0.93.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Zimbabwe ↓ / Congo DR → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 13% 9% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 65%
3+ goals 37%
No goals 13%

Zimbabwe and Congo DR expected goals

Zimbabwe 0.93
Congo DR 1.25

Total expected goals: 2.18

Zimbabwe and Congo DR attack and defence ratings

Zimbabwe

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 1.18 +18%

Congo DR

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 0.71 -29%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Zimbabwe vs Congo DR: result vs prediction

Zimbabwe 1 – 2 Congo DR

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Group Stage - 2 fixtures

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Before and after this match

Zimbabwe vs Congo DR markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Congo DR 49.8% 2.01 -9.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 62.9% 1.59 — —
Both teams to score No 55.6% 1.80 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 79.7% 1.25 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.6% 1.74 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Zimbabwe20.3%
Draw29.9%
Congo DR49.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.537.1%
Under 2.562.9%
Both teams to scoreYes44.4%
No55.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)50.2%
12 (either side)70.1%
X2 (draw or away)79.7%
Handicap -1Congo DR win19.6%
Push (exactly one goal)22.8%
Loss57.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.5%
0-112.9%
0-012.7%

Zimbabwe vs Congo DR stats

Zimbabwe and Congo DR recent form

newest first
Zimbabwe WLDLLD
Congo DR WLWLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Zimbabwe vs Congo DR head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

1Zimbabwe wins 1Draws 1Congo DR wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2019-06-30ZimbabweCongo DRAfrica Cup of Nations0-4
2018-10-16ZimbabweCongo DRAfrica Cup of Nations1-1
2018-10-13Congo DRZimbabweAfrica Cup of Nations1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Zimbabwe vs Congo DR odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 18.3%, draw 29.4%, away 52.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 5.14 3.34 1.71
Bet365 5.00 3.00 1.75
BetVictor 5.00 3.20 1.73
Betano 5.00 3.10 1.80
Marathonbet 5.15 3.34 1.69
Pinnacle 5.01 3.11 1.79
William Hill 4.80 3.00 1.75

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.