Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Full time ·Group Stage - 1

Egypt vs Angola

0 – 0 Full time

40′Mahmoud SaberOmar Marmoush
45′Pedro Bondo Francisco
61′Mohamed SalahZizo Sayed
62′Haissem HassanHamza Abdelkarim
70′Zito LuvumboChico Banza
84′MabululuValdemiro Pinto Domingos
84′MilsonMario Balburdia
85′Manuel Keliano
88′Mostafa ZicoAli Mahmoud
88′Emam AshourIbrahim Adel

Cairo International Stadium, CairoReferee: Peter Waweru

Egypt 62%
Draw 24%
Angola 14%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

15 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 2
66 Possession % 34
10 Corners 3
17 Fouls 24
2 Offsides 1
2 Saves 2
478 Accurate passes 218

Egypt vs Angola overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Egypt vs Angola

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityEgyptDrawAngola
Model42.5%32.4%25.1%
Market68.8%21.4%9.8%
Final62.2%24.2%13.6%
Edge-26.2%+10.9%+15.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Egypt

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.28 vs 0.76.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Egypt ↓ / Angola → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 14% 9% 1 15% 14% 2 11% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 86%
2+ goals 62%
3+ goals 33%
No goals 14%

Egypt and Angola expected goals

Egypt 1.28
Angola 0.76

Total expected goals: 2.04

Egypt and Angola attack and defence ratings

Egypt

Attack 1.12 +12%
Defence 0.89 -11%

Angola

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 0.82 -18%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Egypt vs Angola: result vs prediction

Egypt 0 – 0 Angola

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Group Stage - 1 fixtures

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Before and after this match

Egypt vs Angola markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Egypt 62.2% 1.61 -26.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 66.2% 1.51 — —
Both teams to score No 58.5% 1.71 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 86.4% 1.16 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 52.7% 1.90 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Egypt62.2%
Draw24.2%
Angola13.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.533.8%
Under 2.566.2%
Both teams to scoreYes41.5%
No58.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)86.4%
12 (either side)75.8%
X2 (draw or away)37.8%
Handicap -1Egypt win22.4%
Push (exactly one goal)24.8%
Loss52.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.5%
0-014.1%
1-014.0%

Egypt vs Angola stats

Egypt and Angola recent form

newest first
Egypt LDDWDD
Angola DDLDDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Egypt vs Angola head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

1Egypt wins 2Draws 0Angola wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-12-29AngolaEgyptAfrica Cup of Nations0-0
2021-11-12AngolaEgyptWorld Cup - Qualification Africa2-2
2021-09-01EgyptAngolaWorld Cup - Qualification Africa1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Egypt vs Angola odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 68.3%, draw 22.0%, away 9.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.35 4.33 9.90
Bet365 1.30 4.75 9.50
BetVictor 1.33 4.20 9.50
Betano 1.38 4.50 9.50
Betfair 1.36 3.90 8.00
Marathonbet 1.33 4.35 9.40
Pinnacle 1.36 4.18 9.72
SBO 1.28 3.92 7.91
William Hill 1.35 4.00 8.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.35 ▼ -0.07
X 4.33 ▲ +0.23
2 9.50 ▲ +1.90

8 snapshots recorded, from .