South Sudan
vs
Egypt
0 – 5 Full time
| 36′ | Mostafa Zico | ||
| 38′ | Marwan Attia | ||
| 45′ | Jamu Akou Arum IluyaGodfrey Debele | ||
| 49′ | Omar Marmoush | ||
| 53′ | Ahmed FatouhKarim Hafez | ||
| 53′ | Haissem HassanIbrahim Adel | ||
| 58′ | Valentino Kuach YuelM. Albano | ||
| 58′ | Jackson DwangKur Gai Kur | ||
| 59′ | joseph stephen dhataKeer Mangar Majak | ||
| 64′ | Godfrey Debele | ||
| 65′ | Peter ChanJ. Malish | ||
| 75′ | Ibrahim Adel | ||
| 81′ | Mostafa ZicoOsama Faisal | ||
| 81′ | Marwan AttiaZizo Sayed | ||
| 83′ | Omar Marmoush | ||
| 87′ | Omar MarmoushHamza Abdelkarim | ||
| 90′ | Hamza Abdelkarim |
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 19 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shots on target | 10 |
| 39 | Possession % | 61 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 5 | Saves | 1 |
| 252 | Accurate passes | 410 |
South Sudan vs Egypt overview
Garuda Lions analysis: South Sudan vs Egypt
| Probability | South Sudan | Draw | Egypt |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.7% | 31.2% | 46.1% |
| Market | 6.3% | 15.7% | 78.0% |
| Final | 10.4% | 19.6% | 70.0% |
| Edge | +16.3% | +15.6% | -31.9% |
Why Egypt
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.29 vs 0.82.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
South Sudan and Egypt expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.12
South Sudan and Egypt attack and defence ratings
South Sudan
Egypt
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
South Sudan vs Egypt: result vs prediction
South Sudan 0 – 5 Egypt
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Group Stage - 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
South Sudan vs Egypt markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Egypt | 70.0% | 1.43 | -31.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 89.6% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | South Sudan | 10.4% |
| Draw | 19.6% | |
| Egypt | 70.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.3% |
| No | 57.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 30.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 89.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Egypt win | 22.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.2% | |
| Loss | 53.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 14.2% |
| 1-1 | 14.1% | |
| 0-0 | 13.2% |
South Sudan vs Egypt stats
South Sudan and Egypt recent form
| South Sudan |
LLWDLD |
| Egypt |
DLDDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
South Sudan vs Egypt head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-06-18 | Egypt | South Sudan | Friendlies | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
South Sudan vs Egypt odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 6.3%, draw 15.7%, away 78.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 14.40 | 6.15 | 1.18 |
| Bet365 | 17.00 | 5.75 | 1.17 |
| BetVictor | 15.00 | 5.75 | 1.17 |
| Betano | 17.00 | 6.60 | 1.23 |
| Betfair | 13.00 | 5.50 | 1.15 |
| Marathonbet | 14.50 | 6.15 | 1.17 |
| Pinnacle | 13.97 | 5.95 | 1.19 |
| William Hill | 13.00 | 5.50 | 1.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .