Malawi
vs
South Sudan
2 – 1 Full time
| 20′ | Adepoju adebare babatunde | ||
| 28′ | M. Albano | ||
| 45′ | chifundo mphasiWisdom Mpinganjira | ||
| 48′ | joseph stephen dhata | ||
| 54′ | Jamu Akou Arum IluyaValentino Kuach Yuel | ||
| 54′ | Paul JawaKeer Mangar Majak | ||
| 64′ | lloyd njaliwa | ||
| 70′ | M. AlbanoJackson Dwang | ||
| 70′ | Peter ChanJ. Malish | ||
| 74′ | Patrick MwaunguluFrancisco Madinga | ||
| 76′ | Francisco Madinga | ||
| 77′ | Adepoju adebare babatundeE. Kondowe | ||
| 84′ | R. Angier | ||
| 87′ | B. SinginiYankho Singo | ||
| 87′ | Gaddie ChirwaAdielo Kaduya | ||
| 90′ | joseph stephen dhata |
Match stats
| 5 | Shots | 0 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 0 |
| 57 | Possession % | 43 |
| 2 | Corners | 0 |
Malawi vs South Sudan overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Malawi vs South Sudan
| Probability | Malawi | Draw | South Sudan |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.7% | 33.9% | 27.4% |
| Market | 56.3% | 27.2% | 16.5% |
| Final | 51.9% | 28.9% | 19.2% |
| Edge | -17.6% | +6.7% | +10.9% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Malawi and South Sudan expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.96
Malawi and South Sudan attack and defence ratings
Malawi
South Sudan
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Malawi vs South Sudan: result vs prediction
Malawi 2 – 1 South Sudan
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Group Stage - 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Malawi vs South Sudan markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Malawi | 51.9% | 1.93 | -17.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Malawi | 51.9% |
| Draw | 28.9% | |
| South Sudan | 19.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 30.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 69.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39.4% |
| No | 60.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Malawi win | 16.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.3% | |
| Loss | 61.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 15.7% |
| 1-1 | 14.7% | |
| 1-0 | 14.1% |
Malawi vs South Sudan stats
Malawi and South Sudan recent form
| Malawi |
LDWLLL |
| South Sudan |
LWDLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Malawi vs South Sudan head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-24 | South Sudan | Malawi | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification | 0-1 |
| 2019-11-13 | Malawi | South Sudan | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification | 1-0 |
| 2015-11-27 | South Sudan | Malawi | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Malawi vs South Sudan odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 56.3%, draw 27.2%, away 16.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.63 | 3.52 | 5.52 |
| Bet365 | 1.60 | 3.20 | 5.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.62 | 3.40 | 5.50 |
| Betano | 1.65 | 3.35 | 5.80 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 3.10 | 5.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.61 | 3.52 | 5.55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.65 | 3.40 | 5.71 |
| SBO | 1.56 | 3.18 | 4.78 |
| William Hill | 1.65 | 3.20 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .