Kenya
vs
Eritrea
1 – 1 Full time
| 23′ | Jamal AliJozef Misignha | ||
| 29′ | Ronney Onyango | ||
| 36′ | Nahom Girmai | ||
| 52′ | Victor Fors | ||
| 60′ | Manzur Okwaro | ||
| 64′ | Job OchiengBen Stanley Omondi | ||
| 65′ | Timothy OumaS. Wilson | ||
| 67′ | Tesfaldet TekieNahom Tadese Mekonen | ||
| 70′ | Manzur Okwaromohammed bajaber | ||
| 78′ | Esrom YohannesAwed Issac Abeselom | ||
| 78′ | Filimon GerezgiherMaill Lundgren | ||
| 79′ | Ronney OnyangoAmos Wanjala | ||
| 79′ | Micah ObieroShariff Sirengo | ||
| 87′ | Rambok Ryan Wesley Ogam |
Match stats
| 29 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 68 | Possession % | 32 |
| 8 | Corners | 0 |
| 12 | Fouls | 7 |
| 4 | Offsides | 3 |
| 5 | Saves | 5 |
| 451 | Accurate passes | 214 |
Kenya vs Eritrea overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kenya vs Eritrea
| Probability | Kenya | Draw | Eritrea |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.0% | 26.0% | 26.0% |
| Market | 68.3% | 21.8% | 9.9% |
| Final | 63.2% | 22.8% | 13.9% |
| Edge | -20.3% | +4.2% | +16.1% |
Why Kenya
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.72 vs 1.22.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kenya and Eritrea expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.93
Kenya and Eritrea attack and defence ratings
Kenya
Eritrea
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Kenya vs Eritrea: result vs prediction
Kenya 1 – 1 Eritrea
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Group Stage - 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kenya vs Eritrea markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kenya | 63.2% | 1.58 | -20.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.1% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kenya | 63.2% |
| Draw | 22.8% | |
| Eritrea | 13.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.9% |
| No | 41.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 36.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kenya win | 26.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.5% | |
| Loss | 52.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.2% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 1-0 | 8.0% |
Kenya vs Eritrea stats
Kenya vs Eritrea head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-12-17 | Kenya | Eritrea | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup | 1-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Kenya vs Eritrea odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 68.0%, draw 21.9%, away 10.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.34 | 4.40 | 9.40 |
| Bet365 | 1.36 | 5.25 | 6.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.33 | 4.20 | 9.50 |
| Betano | 1.38 | 4.20 | 8.50 |
| Betfair | 1.33 | 4.20 | 8.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.33 | 4.40 | 9.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.37 | 4.16 | 9.23 |
| William Hill | 1.36 | 3.90 | 9.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .