Eritrea
vs
South Africa
0 – 5 Full time
| 12′ | Bathusi AubaasB. Poggenpoel | ||
| 19′ | Relebohile Mofokeng | ||
| 33′ | Olwethu Makhanya | ||
| 45′ | Relebohile Mofokeng | ||
| 45′ | N. EmbayeEsrom Yohannes | ||
| 52′ | Sphephelo Sithole | ||
| 58′ | Filimon GerezgiherYonatan Sebhatu | ||
| 58′ | Jonas Idris IbrahimMaill Lundgren | ||
| 63′ | Iqraam Rayners | ||
| 74′ | Iqraam RaynersCassius Mailula | ||
| 74′ | Olwethu MakhanyaLebone Seema | ||
| 74′ | Thapelo MasekoLuther Singh | ||
| 76′ | Ablelom TeklezgiYonael Yonas | ||
| 77′ | Nahom GirmaiAwed Issac Abeselom | ||
| 79′ | Sphephelo SitholeThemba Zwane | ||
| 90′ | Luther Singh |
Match stats
| 11 | Shots | 22 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 9 |
| 36 | Possession % | 64 |
| 6 | Corners | 8 |
| 15 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Offsides | 9 |
| 4 | Saves | 4 |
| 222 | Accurate passes | 595 |
Eritrea vs South Africa overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Eritrea vs South Africa
| Probability | Eritrea | Draw | South Africa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.2% | 31.6% | 33.2% |
| Market | 9.6% | 16.8% | 73.6% |
| Final | 16.0% | 20.5% | 63.5% |
| Edge | +25.5% | +14.8% | -40.3% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Eritrea and South Africa expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.22
Eritrea and South Africa attack and defence ratings
Eritrea
South Africa
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Eritrea vs South Africa: result vs prediction
Eritrea 0 – 5 South Africa
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Group Stage - 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Eritrea vs South Africa markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | South Africa | 63.5% | 1.58 | -40.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.6% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 84.0% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Eritrea | 16.0% |
| Draw | 20.5% | |
| South Africa | 63.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.4% |
| No | 53.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 36.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 84.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | South Africa win | 13.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.5% | |
| Loss | 66.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.7% |
| 0-0 | 12.2% | |
| 1-0 | 10.9% |
Eritrea vs South Africa stats
Eritrea and South Africa recent form
| Eritrea |
DWWLL |
| South Africa |
WLWDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.
Eritrea vs South Africa head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Eritrea vs South Africa odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 9.6%, draw 16.8%, away 73.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 9.60 | 5.70 | 1.25 |
| Bet365 | 9.50 | 5.25 | 1.27 |
| BetVictor | 10.00 | 5.50 | 1.22 |
| Betano | 8.25 | 5.30 | 1.30 |
| Betfair | 10.00 | 5.50 | 1.20 |
| Marathonbet | 9.60 | 5.70 | 1.24 |
| Pinnacle | 8.95 | 5.44 | 1.27 |
| William Hill | 9.00 | 5.00 | 1.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .