Tanzania
vs
Guinea-Bissau
0 – 2 Full time
| 22′ | Denis Kibu | ||
| 33′ | Franculino Gluda Dju | ||
| 56′ | Iano SimãoAdramane Cassama | ||
| 58′ | Mama Baldé | ||
| 62′ | Charles M'MombwaMudathir Yahya Abbas | ||
| 62′ | Himid Mao MkamiAlphonce Msanga | ||
| 62′ | Selemani MwalimuTarryn Allarakhia | ||
| 69′ | Mama BaldéMauro Rodrigues | ||
| 69′ | Franculino Gluda DjuAlvaro Djalo Dias Fernandes | ||
| 70′ | Renato NhagaManadi Camara | ||
| 75′ | Simon MsuvaAbdul Hamisi Suleiman | ||
| 75′ | Haji MnogaNathaniel Chilambo | ||
| 79′ | Ronaldo VieiraAlfa Semedo | ||
| 90′ | Dalcio |
Match stats
| 20 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 60 | Possession % | 40 |
| 3 | Corners | 0 |
| 9 | Fouls | 21 |
| 6 | Offsides | 1 |
| 0 | Saves | 4 |
| 513 | Accurate passes | 316 |
Tanzania vs Guinea-Bissau overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Tanzania vs Guinea-Bissau
| Probability | Tanzania | Draw | Guinea-Bissau |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.2% | 39.3% | 31.5% |
| Market | 41.2% | 31.3% | 27.5% |
| Final | 38.2% | 33.3% | 28.5% |
| Edge | -12.0% | +8.1% | +4.0% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Tanzania and Guinea-Bissau expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.49
Tanzania and Guinea-Bissau attack and defence ratings
Tanzania
Guinea-Bissau
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Tanzania vs Guinea-Bissau: result vs prediction
Tanzania 0 – 2 Guinea-Bissau
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Group Stage - 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Tanzania vs Guinea-Bissau markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tanzania | 38.2% | 2.62 | -12.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tanzania | 38.2% |
| Draw | 33.3% | |
| Guinea-Bissau | 28.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 18.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 81.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 28.9% |
| No | 71.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 66.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tanzania win | 9.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 70.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 23.7% |
| 0-1 | 16.0% | |
| 1-0 | 15.1% |
Tanzania vs Guinea-Bissau stats
Tanzania and Guinea-Bissau recent form
| Tanzania |
LDDLLL |
| Guinea-Bissau |
LLWDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Tanzania vs Guinea-Bissau head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Tanzania vs Guinea-Bissau odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.2%, draw 31.3%, away 27.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.23 | 3.04 | 3.31 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 2.90 | 3.25 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.00 | 3.30 |
| Betano | 2.27 | 2.90 | 3.40 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.00 | 3.10 |
| Marathonbet | 2.22 | 3.04 | 3.26 |
| Pinnacle | 2.29 | 2.86 | 3.44 |
| SBO | 2.18 | 2.78 | 3.01 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 2.80 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .