UEFA Champions League · Full time ·League Stage - 1

Paris Saint Germain vs Slovan Bratislava

6 – 1 Full time

17′O. Dembele
22′K. BajricS. Camara
23′O. Dembele
31′F. Torres
47′F. Torres
53′César Blackman
57′F. Torres
58′S. Camara
60′R. IbrahimA. Mustafic
60′T. BarseghyanN. Marcelli
64′N. MendesL. Digne
64′W. PachoL. Hernandez
64′A. HakimiS. Mayulu
64′O. DembeleM. Godts
73′F. TorresL. Beraldo
80′C. MartinezA. Gajdos
80′A. SporarA. Maros
87′F. Ruiz

Parc des Princes, ParisReferee: Mykola Balakin, Ukraine

Paris Saint Germain 80%
Draw 11%
Slovan Bratislava 9%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

35 Shots 9
14 Shots on target 4
72 Possession % 28
7 Corners 2
8 Fouls 6
4 Offsides 1
3 Saves 8
674 Accurate passes 212

Paris Saint Germain vs Slovan Bratislava overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Paris Saint Germain vs Slovan Bratislava

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityParis Saint GermainDrawSlovan Bratislava
Model42.9%27.9%29.2%
Market92.8%5.1%2.1%
Final80.4%10.8%8.9%
Edge-49.9%+22.8%+27.1%

Confidence: Medium

Why Paris Saint Germain

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.50 vs 1.19.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Paris Saint Ge ↓ / Slovan Bratisl → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 7% 1 9% 13% 7% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 51%
No goals 8%

Paris Saint Germain and Slovan Bratislava expected goals

Paris Saint Germain 1.50
Slovan Bratislava 1.19

Total expected goals: 2.70

Paris Saint Germain and Slovan Bratislava attack and defence ratings

Paris Saint Germain

Attack 1.14 +14%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Slovan Bratislava

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 0.71 -29%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Paris Saint Germain vs Slovan Bratislava: result vs prediction

Paris Saint Germain 6 – 1 Slovan Bratislava

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other League Stage - 1 fixtures

UEFA Champions League

Before and after this match

Paris Saint Germain vs Slovan Bratislava markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Paris Saint Germain 80.4% 1.24 -49.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 50.7% 1.97 — —
Both teams to score Yes 55.5% 1.80 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 91.1% 1.10 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 56.8% 1.76 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Paris Saint Germain80.4%
Draw10.8%
Slovan Bratislava8.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550.7%
Under 2.549.3%
Both teams to scoreYes55.5%
No44.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)91.1%
12 (either side)89.2%
X2 (draw or away)19.6%
Handicap -1Paris Saint Germain win22.0%
Push (exactly one goal)21.2%
Loss56.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.3%
2-19.1%
1-08.9%

Paris Saint Germain vs Slovan Bratislava stats

Paris Saint Germain and Slovan Bratislava recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Paris Saint Germain and Slovan Bratislava going into this match

league record before kick-off

Slovan Bratislava record

  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.

Paris Saint Germain vs Slovan Bratislava head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Paris Saint Germain vs Slovan Bratislava odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 92.8%, draw 5.1%, away 2.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.03 14.00 45.00
1xBet 1.04 24.00 65.00
888Sport 1.04 19.00 46.00
Bet365 1.03 17.00 41.00
BetVictor 1.03 15.00 76.00
Betano 1.05 20.00 37.00
Betfair 1.04 21.00 51.00
Dafabet 1.03 18.00 50.00
Marathonbet 1.04 20.00 56.00
Pinnacle 1.03 21.00 48.50
SBO 1.04 15.88 32.68
Superbet 1.04 19.00 45.00
Unibet 1.04 19.00 41.00
William Hill 1.04 19.00 46.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.04 ▼ -0.01
X 19.00 ▲ +1.25
2 46.00 ▲ +12.14

10 snapshots recorded, from .