Wolverhampton Wanderers
vs
Cardiff
Garuda Lions Prediction: Wolverhampton Wanderers
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Wolverhampton Wanderers is the favourite, not a value bet.
Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Cardiff overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Cardiff
| Probability | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Cardiff |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.8% | 26.6% | 30.6% |
| Market | 58.2% | 21.9% | 19.8% |
| Final | 54.4% | 23.1% | 22.5% |
| Edge | -3.9% | +1.2% | +2.7% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.65, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -10.3% per unit staked (our 54.4% × 1.65 − 1).
Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Cardiff match preview
Wolverhampton Wanderers and Cardiff face off in the Championship with Wolverhampton holding a 43% probability of winning, while Cardiff's chances stand at 31%. The model suggests a likely scoreline of 2-1 in favor of Wolverhampton, which is predicted to occur 9% of the time. Both teams are expected to score, with a 60% probability, and there is a 56% chance that the match will see over 2.5 goals.
In terms of recent form, Wolverhampton has recorded a mixed bag with two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five matches. Cardiff, on the other hand, has also seen inconsistency, with three wins but two losses in their recent outings. The expected goals for Wolverhampton are 1.61, while Cardiff is forecasted to score 1.33.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Wolverhampton Wanderers and Cardiff expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.94
Wolverhampton Wanderers and Cardiff attack and defence ratings
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Cardiff
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Cardiff markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 54.4% | 1.84 | -3.9% | 1.65 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.5% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 54.4% |
| Draw | 23.1% | |
| Cardiff | 22.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.9% |
| No | 40.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Wolverhampton Wanderers win | 22.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.4% | |
| Loss | 57.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.5% |
| 2-1 | 9.1% | |
| 1-2 | 7.5% |
Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Cardiff stats
Wolverhampton Wanderers and Cardiff recent form
| Wolverhampton Wanderers |
WDWLLW |
| Cardiff |
WDWLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Wolverhampton Wanderers and Cardiff season so far
Wolverhampton Wanderers record
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
Cardiff record
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Cardiff head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Cardiff odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 58.2%, draw 21.9%, away 19.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.60 | 4.33 | 4.68 |
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 4.00 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.57 | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| Betano | 1.65 | 4.25 | 4.70 |
| Betfair | 1.60 | 4.33 | 4.75 |
| Marathonbet | 1.58 | 4.33 | 4.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.62 | 4.32 | 4.81 |
| SBO | 1.57 | 3.83 | 4.04 |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 4.00 | 4.60 |