Cardiff
vs
West Ham
Garuda Lions Prediction: West Ham
1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.35 vs 1.81.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Cardiff vs West Ham overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cardiff vs West Ham
| Probability | Cardiff | Draw | West Ham |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.3% | 21.0% | 49.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 29.3% | 21.0% | 49.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why West Ham
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.35 vs 1.81.
Cardiff vs West Ham match preview
Cardiff faces West Ham in the Championship, with the model giving Cardiff a 29% chance of winning, while West Ham holds a 50% probability of victory. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, occurring with an 8% likelihood. Expected goals suggest Cardiff will score 1.81, while West Ham is projected to net 2.35.
In terms of recent form, Cardiff has recorded a mixed set of results with two wins, a draw, and three losses in their last six matches. West Ham's recent performance includes two wins, two draws, and two losses. The model indicates a high expectation for goals, with a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 76% chance that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cardiff and West Ham expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.16
Cardiff and West Ham attack and defence ratings
Cardiff
West Ham
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cardiff vs West Ham markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | West Ham | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 78.4% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cardiff | 29.3% |
| Draw | 21.0% | |
| West Ham | 49.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 78.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 21.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.3% |
| No | 23.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 50.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | West Ham win | 30.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.8% | |
| Loss | 50.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 7.8% |
| 1-1 | 7.3% | |
| 2-2 | 7.1% |
Cardiff vs West Ham stats
Cardiff and West Ham recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cardiff and West Ham season so far
Cardiff record
- They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
West Ham record
- They have won 6 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.