Preston
vs
Sheffield Utd
Garuda Lions Prediction: Sheffield Utd
0 – 2 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.88 vs 0.91.
- RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Preston vs Sheffield Utd overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Preston vs Sheffield Utd
| Probability | Preston | Draw | Sheffield Utd |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 16.8% | 24.3% | 58.9% |
| Market | 32.8% | 26.2% | 41.0% |
| Final | 28.8% | 25.7% | 45.5% |
| Edge | -4.0% | -0.5% | +4.5% |
Why Sheffield Utd
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.88 vs 0.91.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Sheffield Utd below our published probability: +4.5 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.36, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +7.4% per unit staked (our 45.5% × 2.36 − 1).
Preston vs Sheffield Utd match preview
In the upcoming Championship match between Preston and Sheffield Utd, the probabilities indicate a strong advantage for Sheffield Utd, with a 59% likelihood of victory compared to Preston's 17%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 0-2, occurring with an 11% probability. Both teams are expected to struggle offensively, with Preston's expected goals at 0.91 and Sheffield Utd's at 1.88.
Recent form suggests challenges for both teams; Preston has recorded three losses in their last six matches, while Sheffield Utd has a mixed record with two wins and four losses in the same timeframe. Despite this, Sheffield Utd's previous encounters against Preston show a dominant trend, as Preston has won both of the last two head-to-head matches. The confidence grade for this fixture is C, indicating moderate uncertainty.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Preston and Sheffield Utd expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.79
Preston and Sheffield Utd attack and defence ratings
Preston
Sheffield Utd
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Preston vs Sheffield Utd markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sheffield Utd | 45.5% | 2.20 | +4.5% | 2.36 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 41.1% | 2.43 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Preston | 28.8% |
| Draw | 25.7% | |
| Sheffield Utd | 45.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.8% |
| No | 48.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 54.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sheffield Utd win | 35.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.6% | |
| Loss | 41.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.6% |
| 0-2 | 10.8% | |
| 0-1 | 10.5% |
Preston vs Sheffield Utd stats
Preston and Sheffield Utd recent form
| Preston |
DLLLDL |
| Sheffield Utd |
DWLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Preston and Sheffield Utd season so far
Preston record
- They have won 1 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 12 matches.
Sheffield Utd record
- They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
Preston vs Sheffield Utd head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Sheffield Utd | Preston | England Championship | 2-3 |
| 2025-10-24 | Preston | Sheffield Utd | England Championship | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Preston vs Sheffield Utd odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 32.8%, draw 26.2%, away 41.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.84 | 3.54 | 2.30 |
| Betano | 2.92 | 3.60 | 2.35 |
| Betfair | 2.88 | 3.60 | 2.25 |
| Dafabet | 2.95 | 3.65 | 2.36 |
| Marathonbet | 2.83 | 3.54 | 2.28 |