Bristol City
vs
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Garuda Lions Prediction: Wolverhampton Wanderers
0 – 1 Predicted score · 14% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Bristol City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bristol City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers
| Probability | Bristol City | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.7% | 33.7% | 38.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 27.7% | 33.7% | 38.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Wolverhampton Wanderers
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Bristol City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers match preview
Bristol City faces Wolverhampton Wanderers in the Championship, with our model assigning Bristol City a 28% chance of winning, while Wolverhampton has a 39% probability. The most likely scoreline is 0-1 in favor of Wolverhampton, occurring 14% of the time according to our predictions. Expected goals suggest Bristol City will score 0.87, while Wolverhampton is forecasted to net 1.08.
In terms of recent form, Bristol City has recorded a mixed set of results with a D-L-L-D-W-L streak, while Wolverhampton has shown better consistency with W-D-W-L-L-W. The likelihood of both teams scoring stands at 40%, and there is a 31% chance for over 2.5 goals in the match. Historically, in their last encounter, Wolverhampton secured a win against Bristol City.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bristol City and Wolverhampton Wanderers expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.95
Bristol City and Wolverhampton Wanderers attack and defence ratings
Bristol City
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Bristol City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 38.6% | 2.59 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bristol City | 27.7% |
| Draw | 33.7% | |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | 38.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 31.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 69.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39.8% |
| No | 60.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 66.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Wolverhampton Wanderers win | 16.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.4% | |
| Loss | 61.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 15.5% |
| 1-1 | 14.7% | |
| 0-1 | 14.0% |
Bristol City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers stats
Bristol City and Wolverhampton Wanderers recent form
| Bristol City |
DLLDWL |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers |
WDWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bristol City and Wolverhampton Wanderers season so far
Bristol City record
- They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Wolverhampton Wanderers record
- They have won 6 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Bristol City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-11 | Bristol City | Wolverhampton Wanderers | England FA Cup | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.