York
vs
Northampton
1 – 1 Full time
| 10′ | Joe O'Brien Whitmarsh | ||
| 40′ | josh powell | ||
| 49′ | Harry Boyes | ||
| 59′ | Joseph Rabole FelixJeff King | ||
| 59′ | Joey Greyjovan malcolm | ||
| 61′ | Janoi DonacienMax Dyche | ||
| 70′ | Joe O'Brien WhitmarshTyrese Fornah | ||
| 70′ | M. WarhurstNathaniel Opoku | ||
| 73′ | Alex HuntFrankie Maguire | ||
| 74′ | Ryan FallowfieldJack Hunt | ||
| 81′ | josh powellJames Maxwell | ||
| 81′ | Owen DaleSam Hoskins | ||
| 85′ | Ollie Pearce | ||
| 86′ | Frankie Maguire |
Match stats
| 13 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 78 | Possession % | 22 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Offsides | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 1 |
| 555 | Accurate passes | 110 |
York vs Northampton overview
Garuda Lions analysis: York vs Northampton
| Probability | York | Draw | Northampton |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 68.4% | 21.2% | 10.4% |
| Market | 63.8% | 21.9% | 14.3% |
| Final | 64.9% | 21.7% | 13.4% |
| Edge | +1.2% | -0.2% | -1.0% |
Why York
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.05 vs 0.69.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
York and Northampton expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.74
York and Northampton attack and defence ratings
York
Northampton
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
York vs Northampton: result vs prediction
York 1 – 1 Northampton
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
York vs Northampton markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | York | 64.9% | 1.54 | +1.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.6% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | York win | 44.2% | 2.26 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | York | 64.9% |
| Draw | 21.7% | |
| Northampton | 13.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.1% |
| No | 55.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 35.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | York win | 44.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.2% | |
| Loss | 31.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 13.6% |
| 1-0 | 12.4% | |
| 1-1 | 10.0% |
York vs Northampton stats
York and Northampton recent form
| York |
WLWDLW |
| Northampton |
LLWDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
York and Northampton going into this match
York record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Northampton record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
York vs Northampton head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-02-23 | York | Northampton | League Two | 1-2 |
| 2016-02-06 | Northampton | York | League Two | 2-0 |
| 2015-02-21 | Northampton | York | League Two | 3-0 |
| 2014-08-16 | York | Northampton | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2014-01-11 | Northampton | York | League Two | 0-2 |
| 2013-08-03 | York | Northampton | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2013-04-13 | Northampton | York | League Two | 0-2 |
| 2012-11-06 | York | Northampton | League Two | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
York vs Northampton odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 63.8%, draw 21.9%, away 14.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.45 | 4.25 | 6.48 |
| Bet365 | 1.48 | 4.10 | 6.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.45 | 4.40 | 7.00 |
| Betano | 1.47 | 4.25 | 6.50 |
| Betfair | 1.47 | 4.40 | 6.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.48 | 4.50 | 6.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.44 | 4.25 | 6.40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.47 | 4.58 | 6.58 |
| SBO | 1.42 | 3.80 | 5.51 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 4.20 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .