CDS Tampico Madero
vs
Durango
Garuda Lions Prediction: Durango
0 – 1 Predicted score · 11% model probability
CDS Tampico Madero vs Durango overview
Garuda Lions analysis: CDS Tampico Madero vs Durango
| Probability | CDS Tampico Madero | Draw | Durango |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.3% | 31.3% | 36.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 32.3% | 31.3% | 36.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Durango
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
CDS Tampico Madero vs Durango match preview
CDS Tampico Madero faces Durango in the Liga de Expansión MX with model probabilities indicating a competitive match. CDS Tampico Madero has a 32% chance of winning, while Durango holds a slight edge at 37%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring at an 11% probability. The expected goals suggest a close contest, with CDS Tampico Madero at 1.09 and Durango at 1.18.
In terms of recent form, CDS Tampico Madero has struggled, recording two losses, a draw, and a win in their last six matches. In contrast, Durango has shown better form with three wins, one loss, and two draws in the same period. The probabilities for over 2.5 goals stand at 40%, and both teams to score is at 47%, indicating a potentially tight encounter.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
CDS Tampico Madero and Durango expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.26
CDS Tampico Madero and Durango attack and defence ratings
CDS Tampico Madero
Durango
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
CDS Tampico Madero vs Durango markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Durango | 36.4% | 2.75 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 68.7% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CDS Tampico Madero | 32.3% |
| Draw | 31.3% | |
| Durango | 36.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.1% |
| No | 52.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Durango win | 15.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.5% | |
| Loss | 63.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 11.8% | |
| 0-1 | 10.9% |
CDS Tampico Madero vs Durango stats
CDS Tampico Madero and Durango recent form
| CDS Tampico Madero |
LLDLWL |
| Durango |
WWWLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
CDS Tampico Madero and Durango season so far
CDS Tampico Madero record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Durango record
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.