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Liga de Expansión MX · Full time ·Apertura - 12

Mineros de Zacatecas vs Cancún

2 – 2 Full time

19′D. Guillen
22′J. Cano
36′J. Avila
46′D. GuillenG. Preciado
48′J. Cortes
58′K. Campos
64′J. JimenezA. Villalobos
64′W. D. Castro GarciaS. Manriquez
66′L. Cervantes
68′K. Campos
70′C. Trejo
73′P. UscangaL. Lopez
73′D. MarmolejoJ. Machado
83′J. EsquivelL. Hernandez
83′L. CervantesC. A. Flores Sanchez
84′K. CamposC. Salaya De La Cruz
90′J. CortesT. Gigena
90′J. RodriguezC. Vela
90′A. Alvarez

Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba, ZacatecasReferee: F. Cruz Garatachea

Mineros de Zacatecas 46%
Draw 26%
Cancún 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Mineros de Zacatecas vs Cancún overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Mineros de Zacatecas vs Cancún

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMineros de ZacatecasDrawCancún
Model49.0%24.4%26.5%
Market44.9%26.9%28.2%
Final45.9%26.3%27.8%
Edge+1.0%-0.6%-0.4%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Mineros de Zacatecas

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.89 vs 1.35.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Mineros de Zac ↓ / Cancún → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 11% 7% 2 7% 9% 6% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 63%
No goals 5%

Mineros de Zacatecas and Cancún expected goals

Mineros de Zacatecas 1.89
Cancún 1.35

Total expected goals: 3.24

Mineros de Zacatecas and Cancún attack and defence ratings

Mineros de Zacatecas

Attack 1.18 +18%
Defence 1.06 +6%

Cancún

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 0.89 -11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Mineros de Zacatecas vs Cancún: result vs prediction

Mineros de Zacatecas 2 – 2 Cancún

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Apertura - 12 fixtures

Liga de Expansión MX

Before and after this match

Mineros de Zacatecas vs Cancún markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Mineros de Zacatecas 45.9% 2.18 +1.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62.9% 1.59 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.9% 1.56 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.7% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 51.0% 1.96 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Mineros de Zacatecas45.9%
Draw26.3%
Cancún27.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562.9%
Under 2.537.1%
Both teams to scoreYes63.9%
No36.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.2%
12 (either side)73.7%
X2 (draw or away)54.1%
Handicap -1Mineros de Zacatecas win28.2%
Push (exactly one goal)20.8%
Loss51.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.0%
2-19.4%
2-07.0%

Mineros de Zacatecas vs Cancún stats

Mineros de Zacatecas and Cancún recent form

newest first
Mineros de Zacatecas LWWLLW
Cancún WLWDDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Mineros de Zacatecas and Cancún going into this match

league record before kick-off

Mineros de Zacatecas record

  • They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.

Cancún record

  • They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).

Mineros de Zacatecas vs Cancún head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Mineros de Zacatecas wins 3Draws 5Cancún wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-15CancúnMineros de ZacatecasLiga de Expansión MX4-1
2025-09-06Mineros de ZacatecasCancúnLiga de Expansión MX0-0
2025-02-02Mineros de ZacatecasCancúnLiga de Expansión MX1-1
2024-08-17CancúnMineros de ZacatecasLiga de Expansión MX0-0
2024-02-21Mineros de ZacatecasCancúnLiga de Expansión MX0-2
2023-11-26CancúnMineros de ZacatecasLiga de Expansión MX3-2
2023-11-24Mineros de ZacatecasCancúnLiga de Expansión MX1-0
2023-11-02CancúnMineros de ZacatecasLiga de Expansión MX2-1
2023-03-17CancúnMineros de ZacatecasLiga de Expansión MX3-2
2022-10-08Mineros de ZacatecasCancúnLiga de Expansión MX4-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Mineros de Zacatecas vs Cancún odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 44.9%, draw 26.9%, away 28.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.00 3.32 3.28
Bet365 2.10 3.40 3.40
BetVictor 2.05 3.50 3.20
Betano 2.05 3.35 3.25
Betfair 1.91 3.60 3.25
Dafabet 2.12 3.45 3.20
Marathonbet 1.98 3.32 3.20
Pinnacle 2.10 3.54 3.37
SBO 1.97 3.13 3.10
William Hill 2.00 3.30 3.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.02 ▲ +0.02
X 3.38 ▼ -0.06
2 3.23 —

13 snapshots recorded, from .