Mineros de Zacatecas
vs
Cancún
Garuda Lions Prediction: Mineros de Zacatecas
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Mineros de Zacatecas vs Cancún overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mineros de Zacatecas vs Cancún
| Probability | Mineros de Zacatecas | Draw | Cancún |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.3% | 24.4% | 26.3% |
| Market | 49.8% | 25.6% | 24.6% |
| Final | 49.7% | 25.3% | 25.0% |
| Edge | -0.5% | -1.2% | +1.7% |
Why Mineros de Zacatecas
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.90 vs 1.35.
Best available price on the pick: 2.02, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Mineros de Zacatecas vs Cancún match preview
Mineros de Zacatecas will face Cancún in a Liga de Expansión MX match on October 11, 2026. The model assigns a 49% probability of a Mineros victory, while Cancún has a 26% chance, and a draw stands at 24%. The expected goals suggest Mineros de Zacatecas will score 1.90, compared to Cancún's 1.36, indicating a potentially competitive match.
Recent form shows Mineros de Zacatecas with mixed results, recording two wins and three losses in their last five matches. In contrast, Cancún has been more consistent, with three wins, two draws, and one loss in the same timeframe. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Mineros de Zacatecas, with a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% likelihood that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Mineros de Zacatecas and Cancún expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.24
Mineros de Zacatecas and Cancún attack and defence ratings
Mineros de Zacatecas
Cancún
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Mineros de Zacatecas vs Cancún markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 49.7% | 2.01 | -0.5% | 2.02 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.9% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 49.7% |
| Draw | 25.3% | |
| Cancún | 25.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.9% |
| No | 36.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mineros de Zacatecas win | 28.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 50.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 2-0 | 7.0% |
Mineros de Zacatecas vs Cancún stats
Mineros de Zacatecas and Cancún recent form
| Mineros de Zacatecas |
LWWLLW |
| Cancún |
WLWDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Mineros de Zacatecas and Cancún season so far
Mineros de Zacatecas record
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
Cancún record
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Mineros de Zacatecas vs Cancún head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-15 | Cancún | Mineros de Zacatecas | Liga de Expansión MX | 4-1 |
| 2025-09-06 | Mineros de Zacatecas | Cancún | Liga de Expansión MX | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Mineros de Zacatecas vs Cancún odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.8%, draw 25.6%, away 24.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.75 | 3.62 | 3.88 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| Betano | 2.02 | 3.45 | 3.25 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.60 | 3.75 |
| Dafabet | 1.92 | 3.60 | 3.65 |
| Marathonbet | 1.73 | 3.62 | 3.80 |
| Pinnacle | 1.79 | 3.75 | 4.05 |
| SBO | 1.86 | 3.10 | 3.24 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.40 | 3.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .