Garuda Lions
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Liga de Expansión MX · Full time ·Apertura - 13

Correcaminos Uat vs Dorados

1 – 2 Full time

9′F. Pena
41′J. RengifoL. Vargas
46′W. GuzmanO. Islas
53′J. Castro
62′E. Torres
67′R. ArceJ. Cantu
67′D. MinaT. Sandoval
70′G. Padilla
73′M. FloresJ. Alvarez
73′F. ContrerasB. Sanchez
84′W. OrtegaJ. Estopier
84′Y. UribeN. Gomez Del Rosal
90′A. Flores
90′G. Moreno
90′W. Gonzalez RodriguezB. Ordorica
90′B. Ordorica
90′B. Ordorica

Referee: E. L. Sanchez M.

Correcaminos Uat 54%
Draw 23%
Dorados 23%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Correcaminos Uat vs Dorados overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Correcaminos Uat vs Dorados

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCorrecaminos UatDrawDorados
Model53.6%22.3%24.1%
Market53.9%23.0%23.0%
Final53.8%22.8%23.3%
Edge-0.1%-0.2%+0.3%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Correcaminos Uat

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.17 vs 1.43.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Correcaminos U ↓ / Dorados → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 5% 9% 6% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 7% 5% 4+ 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 88%
3+ goals 70%
No goals 4%

Correcaminos Uat and Dorados expected goals

Correcaminos Uat 2.17
Dorados 1.43

Total expected goals: 3.59

Correcaminos Uat and Dorados attack and defence ratings

Correcaminos Uat

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 1.12 +12%

Dorados

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 1.30 +30%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Correcaminos Uat vs Dorados: result vs prediction

Correcaminos Uat 1 – 2 Dorados

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Apertura - 13 fixtures

Liga de Expansión MX

Before and after this match

Correcaminos Uat vs Dorados markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Correcaminos Uat 53.8% 1.86 -0.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 69.6% 1.44 — —
Both teams to score Yes 68.1% 1.47 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 77.2% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 46.4% 2.15 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Correcaminos Uat53.8%
Draw22.8%
Dorados23.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.569.6%
Under 2.530.4%
Both teams to scoreYes68.1%
No31.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)76.7%
12 (either side)77.2%
X2 (draw or away)46.2%
Handicap -1Correcaminos Uat win33.1%
Push (exactly one goal)20.5%
Loss46.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.4%
2-19.2%
3-16.7%

Correcaminos Uat vs Dorados stats

Correcaminos Uat and Dorados recent form

newest first
Correcaminos Uat LDWLDL
Dorados LLLDDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Correcaminos Uat and Dorados going into this match

league record before kick-off

Correcaminos Uat record

  • They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.

Dorados record

  • They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They average 2.4 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
  • They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
  • 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Correcaminos Uat vs Dorados head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Correcaminos Uat wins 0Draws 6Dorados wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-29DoradosCorrecaminos UatLiga de Expansión MX2-1
2025-10-18Correcaminos UatDoradosLiga de Expansión MX1-0
2025-02-21Correcaminos UatDoradosLiga de Expansión MX3-1
2024-09-08DoradosCorrecaminos UatLiga de Expansión MX3-1
2024-02-14DoradosCorrecaminos UatLiga de Expansión MX3-0
2023-07-23Correcaminos UatDoradosLiga de Expansión MX2-0
2023-04-17DoradosCorrecaminos UatLiga de Expansión MX0-1
2022-09-16Correcaminos UatDoradosLiga de Expansión MX0-2
2022-01-10Correcaminos UatDoradosLiga de Expansión MX1-2
2021-09-22DoradosCorrecaminos UatLiga de Expansión MX3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Correcaminos Uat vs Dorados odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 54.6%, draw 22.8%, away 22.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.65 3.96 4.04
Bet365 1.75 4.10 3.90
BetVictor 1.70 4.00 4.00
Betano 1.60 4.10 4.50
Betfair 1.62 4.00 4.20
Dafabet 1.69 4.10 4.30
Marathonbet 1.63 3.96 3.96
Pinnacle 1.74 4.20 4.14
SBO 1.58 3.76 4.00
William Hill 1.70 3.90 3.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.70 ▲ +0.13
X 3.98 ▼ -0.12
2 3.98 ▼ -0.55

10 snapshots recorded, from .