Correcaminos Uat
vs
Dorados
Garuda Lions Prediction: Correcaminos Uat
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Correcaminos Uat vs Dorados overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Correcaminos Uat vs Dorados
| Probability | Correcaminos Uat | Draw | Dorados |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.7% | 23.0% | 26.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 50.7% | 23.0% | 26.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Correcaminos Uat
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.06 vs 1.46.
Correcaminos Uat vs Dorados match preview
Correcaminos Uat will host Dorados in their upcoming Liga de Expansión MX match, with a 51% probability of victory for Correcaminos Uat according to our model. The expected goals stand at 2.06 for Correcaminos Uat and 1.46 for Dorados, suggesting a competitive encounter. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Correcaminos Uat, with a 9% likelihood.
Both teams show a strong tendency to score, with our model indicating a 68% chance for over 2.5 goals and a 68% probability for both teams to find the net. Recent form shows Correcaminos Uat struggling with two losses in their last three matches, while Dorados has improved with two wins in their last three outings. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Correcaminos Uat and Dorados expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.52
Correcaminos Uat and Dorados attack and defence ratings
Correcaminos Uat
Dorados
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Correcaminos Uat vs Dorados markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Correcaminos Uat | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.8% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.3% | 2.03 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Correcaminos Uat | 50.7% |
| Draw | 23.0% | |
| Dorados | 26.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.8% |
| No | 32.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Correcaminos Uat win | 30.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.3% | |
| Loss | 49.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.8% |
| 2-1 | 9.2% | |
| 2-2 | 6.7% |
Correcaminos Uat vs Dorados stats
Correcaminos Uat and Dorados recent form
| Correcaminos Uat |
LDWLDL |
| Dorados |
LLDDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Correcaminos Uat and Dorados season so far
Correcaminos Uat record
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
Dorados record
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Correcaminos Uat vs Dorados head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-29 | Dorados | Correcaminos Uat | Liga de Expansión MX | 2-1 |
| 2025-10-18 | Correcaminos Uat | Dorados | Liga de Expansión MX | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.