KNVB Beker · Full time ·Round of 64

PEC Zwolle vs FC OSS

1 – 2 Full time

18′L. Mol
34′D. Vianello
46′Y. NamliG. van der Wal
50′M. Hinoke
58′D. MbayoE. Sorensen
58′R. ThomasN. Fichtinger
59′T. CoxA. Henry
60′R. van der VenneM. Horemans
60′A. VisserS. Doucoure
70′T. OostingS. van Hooijdonk
73′M. de LannoyQ. Jansen
77′J. BynoeM. Esajas
80′M. Hinoke
86′O. AertssenJ. Burger

Referee: R. Martens

PEC Zwolle 58%
Draw 19%
FC OSS 23%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 4
72 Possession % 28
8 Corners 6
12 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 1
2 Saves 6
581 Accurate passes 173

PEC Zwolle vs FC OSS overview

Garuda Lions analysis: PEC Zwolle vs FC OSS

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPEC ZwolleDrawFC OSS
Model18.2%21.8%60.1%
Market70.8%18.2%11.0%
Final57.6%19.1%23.3%
Edge-13.1%+0.9%+12.3%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

PEC Zwolle ↓ / FC OSS → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 9% 6% 6% 1 10% 10% 7% 6% 2 5% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 65%
No goals 4%

PEC Zwolle and FC OSS expected goals

PEC Zwolle 1.15
FC OSS 2.19

Total expected goals: 3.33

PEC Zwolle and FC OSS attack and defence ratings

PEC Zwolle

Attack 0.69 -31%
Defence 1.10 +10%

FC OSS

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

PEC Zwolle vs FC OSS: result vs prediction

PEC Zwolle 1 – 2 FC OSS

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 64 fixtures

KNVB Beker

Before and after this match

PEC Zwolle vs FC OSS markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 PEC Zwolle 57.6% 1.74 -13.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 64.7% 1.55 — —
Both teams to score Yes 61.5% 1.63 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 80.9% 1.24 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 81.8% 1.22 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2PEC Zwolle57.6%
Draw19.1%
FC OSS23.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.564.7%
Under 2.535.3%
Both teams to scoreYes61.5%
No38.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)76.7%
12 (either side)80.9%
X2 (draw or away)42.4%
Handicap -1PEC Zwolle win7.2%
Push (exactly one goal)11.0%
Loss81.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.8%
1-29.8%
0-28.5%

PEC Zwolle vs FC OSS stats

PEC Zwolle and FC OSS recent form

newest first
PEC Zwolle DWLLLD
FC OSS DLWWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

PEC Zwolle vs FC OSS head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

2PEC Zwolle wins 0Draws 0FC OSS wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2023-01-27PEC ZwolleFC OSSEerste Divisie4-1
2022-11-04FC OSSPEC ZwolleEerste Divisie0-5

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

PEC Zwolle vs FC OSS odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 70.8%, draw 18.2%, away 11.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.30 5.05 8.85
Bet365 1.33 5.25 8.00
BetVictor 1.29 5.00 8.50
Betano 1.33 5.30 7.80
Betfair 1.25 5.00 8.50
Dafabet 1.32 5.80 8.20
Marathonbet 1.29 5.05 8.80
Pinnacle 1.30 5.17 7.89
SBO 1.29 4.65 6.47
William Hill 1.33 4.75 8.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.30 ▼ -0.01
X 5.05 ▲ +0.05
2 8.35 ▲ +0.22

3 snapshots recorded, from .