Alianza Atletico
vs
Juan Pablo II College
Garuda Lions Prediction: Alianza Atletico
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Alianza Atletico vs Juan Pablo II College overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Alianza Atletico vs Juan Pablo II College
| Probability | Alianza Atletico | Draw | Juan Pablo II College |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.8% | 22.4% | 35.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 41.8% | 22.4% | 35.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Alianza Atletico vs Juan Pablo II College match preview
Alianza Atletico faces Juan Pablo II College in a matchup where the probabilities suggest a competitive encounter. According to our model, Alianza Atletico has a 42% chance of winning, while Juan Pablo II College stands at 36%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Alianza Atletico, with an 8% probability. Both teams are expected to contribute to an exciting match, as the model indicates a 75% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 74% chance for both teams to score.
Recent form shows Alianza Atletico with mixed results, recording two wins in their last six matches, while Juan Pablo II College has been more consistent, with three wins and a draw in their last six. In their last three head-to-head encounters, Alianza Atletico has one victory, while Juan Pablo II College has secured two wins.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Alianza Atletico and Juan Pablo II College expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.91
Alianza Atletico and Juan Pablo II College attack and defence ratings
Alianza Atletico
Juan Pablo II College
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Alianza Atletico vs Juan Pablo II College markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Alianza Atletico | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Alianza Atletico | 41.8% |
| Draw | 22.4% | |
| Juan Pablo II College | 35.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 25.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.3% |
| No | 25.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Alianza Atletico win | 23.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.9% | |
| Loss | 58.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.4% |
| 2-1 | 7.8% | |
| 2-2 | 7.3% |
Alianza Atletico vs Juan Pablo II College stats
Alianza Atletico and Juan Pablo II College recent form
| Alianza Atletico |
LLWWLW |
| Juan Pablo II College |
LWDWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Alianza Atletico and Juan Pablo II College season so far
Alianza Atletico record
- They have won 12 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Juan Pablo II College record
- They have won 10 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 9 of 9 penalties (100%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Alianza Atletico vs Juan Pablo II College head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Juan Pablo II College | Alianza Atletico | Peru Primera División | 0-2 |
| 2025-09-13 | Alianza Atletico | Juan Pablo II College | Peru Primera División | 0-1 |
| 2025-04-12 | Juan Pablo II College | Alianza Atletico | Peru Primera División | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.